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The John Batchelor Show

S8 Ep257: INTELLIGENCE AND CALCULATED RISK Colleague Craig Symonds. Nimitz employed the concept of "calculated risk"—weighing potential benefits against losses—to manage his inferior forces. Although he viewed the Doolittle Raid as a risky stunt, he allowed it to p

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Arts, Society & Culture, Books, News

4.62.7K Ratings

🗓️ 28 December 2025

⏱️ 10 minutes

Summary

INTELLIGENCE AND CALCULATED RISK Colleague Craig Symonds. Nimitz employed the concept of "calculated risk"—weighing potential benefits against losses—to manage his inferior forces. Although he viewed the Doolittle Raid as a risky stunt, he allowed it to proceed. Relying on intelligence from Layton and Rochefort, Nimitzcommitted his remaining carriers to the Battle of the Coral Sea and Midway. When Admiral Halsey fell ill with a skin condition before Midway, Nimitz selected the quiet Raymond Spruance to command, a decision validated by victory. Following Midway, Nimitz quietly placed aviator Marc Mitscher in "escrow" after a misleading after-action report. NUMBER 2
1945 OKINAWA (CV-94 LUNGA POINT)

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