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per month required. Terms of plaeton.co. UK. Hello everyone and welcome to the focus group podcast I'm Sarah Longwell publisher of

the bull work and we are here to guide you through the beginning of

real voting in this presidential primary which begins in Iowa which could

end up being the first and last date that matters in this presidential primary, but we shall see.

Now, people who are looking for an optimistic case for a non-Trump we'll tell you something like this.

Sure, the national polls show a massive lead for Trump,

but it's a little narrower in early states.

Sometimes I'm one of these people.

Trump is leading by 52 points in the national real clear politics

average as of this taping. But if you zoom into Iowa home of the first in the

nation caucuses, Trump is leading by only 33 points.

So that's the hopeful part.

But, ooh boy, did our Iowa focus groups tell you

why Trump is leading by such a large margin? My guess today is a living legend in the state of Iowa and in our

office full of political nerds, J Ann Selzer, president of the polling firm

Selzer and Company, who is most well known for conducting

the Des Moines Register's Iowa Poll, which is the gold standard in Iowa. Anne, thank you so much for being here.

My pleasure.

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