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The Erick Erickson Show

S11 EP201: Hour 1 - The After Action Report: Why the Wave Collapsed

The Erick Erickson Show

Erick Erickson

News, News Commentary

4.5874 Ratings

🗓️ 14 November 2022

⏱️ 39 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

We take a deep dive now that the data is in on what just happened in the midterms.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Eric Erickson Show podcast, Hour One.

0:12.3

Hello and welcome. It is Eric Erickson here across the country. The phone number 8779773-725.

0:22.2

Delighted to have you with me here today.

0:24.7

Well, we have to begin the post-mortem today, don't we?

0:27.5

We can probably cover it all just here today.

0:30.4

What actually happened?

0:31.6

Where was the red wave?

0:33.0

Where was the doom everyone was expecting?

0:35.1

And by the way, it is worth noting we actually were expecting it.

0:40.0

Everyone, including the Democrats, were expecting there to be a red wave. The Democrats were

0:45.6

already making plans to toss, for example, Ron Clayne as White House chief of staff. The New York

0:51.3

Times had its hit jobs on Joe Biden geared up. Where was it? What happened?

0:57.8

Well, I've been looking at all the numbers. I got it wrong. I was telling Democrats on this

1:06.4

program, doom was coming, and all the data showed it was. The Democratic behaviors showed it was.

1:13.0

The Republican behavior showed it was.

1:15.6

It's nice, however, to feel like I wasn't out on a limb here, literally everybody.

1:20.7

With the exception of the perennial contrarians, there are always these people who are contrarians.

1:25.8

If everybody goes in one direction, they go in the opposite. And they always play down when they're wrong, which they usually are,

1:31.9

but when they get it right, they scream very loudly and say, look at me, look at me, look at me,

1:35.8

I got it right, yes, they got it right this time. Overwhelmingly, however, all of the major prognosticators out there, the media polling was close.

1:48.5

In fact, the media polling got it better than the polling for the GOP.

1:57.2

But what was so interesting is just how the final voting rolled in.

...

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