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The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires)  - The Investor’s Podcast Network

RWH015: Betting Better in Markets & Life w/ Annie Duke

The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires) - The Investor’s Podcast Network

Stig Brodersen

Education, Investing, Business

4.63.6K Ratings

🗓️ 16 October 2022

⏱️ 111 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN: 12:49 - How Annie Duke got sick, quit academia, & became a professional poker player. 18:24 - How poker taught her to “embrace uncertainty” & recognize the limits of what we know. 27:26 - How a legendary poker champion taught her to think more rationally about luck & loss. 37:45 - Why it’s important to think probabilistically—and how to strengthen this skill. 41:49 - How Annie helped a venture capital firm to improve its decision-making process. 44:54 - What skills & insights can be transferred from the game of poker to the game of investing. 51:36 - Why Annie never owned Bitcoin or NFTs. 55:13 - How to develop “kill criteria” that will help you decide when to sell an investment. 1:00:31 - Why we tend to make terrible investment decisions when we’re losing money.  1:06:29 - How to think rationally about whether to quit your job. 1:12:11 - How our sense of identity & tribalism can wreck our ability to revise our beliefs. 1:27:53 - Why Daniel Kahneman has a “quitting coach”—and why you should have one, too. 1:42:18 - Why it’s invaluable to open your mind to other people’s dissenting views. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, and the other community members. Annie Duke’s new book, “Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away.”  Annie’s previous bestsellers, “Thinking in Bets” & “How to Decide” William Green’s book, “Richer, Wiser, Happier” – read the reviews of this book. William Green’s Twitter. Related Episode: The Mind Of A World Poker Champion W/ Annie Duke - TIP231. NEW TO THE SHOW? Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.  SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: Bluehost Fintool PrizePicks Vanta Onramp SimpleMining Fundrise TurboTax Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

Transcript

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0:00.0

You're listening to TIP.

0:03.0

Hi folks, I'm thrilled to introduce today's guest, Danny Duke, who has a fascinating background.

0:08.2

Annie was poised to become a college professor when she got ill, dropped out of the academic

0:12.9

world, and started playing poker as a way to make ends meet.

0:16.9

Over the next two decades, she won more than $4 million as a professional poker player.

0:22.7

That experience led her to become a leading expert on decision making, not only in poker,

0:27.4

but in financial markets and life.

0:30.2

She wrote a best-selling book titled Thinking in Bets, and she's just published an excellent

0:34.6

new bestseller titled Quit, which explores how to decide when to fold and when to stick.

0:40.4

That's a vitally important question for investors, as we're repeatedly faced with difficult

0:45.7

decisions about when to take our profits on winning investments and when to dump our

0:50.6

lousy investments.

0:52.5

As Annie explains in this conversation, we tend to be especially bad at making rational

0:57.0

decisions when we're losing money, which is a situation many of us are facing right

1:01.6

now.

1:02.9

So what can we do to make better decisions both in markets and life?

1:06.5

That's really the central theme of this conversation.

1:09.8

As you'll hear, Annie shares some very practical lessons about how to handle loss and uncertainty,

1:15.4

how to deal with bad luck, and also how to reduce the impact of our many cognitive biases.

1:21.8

She also talks about her experiences in poker and how they apply to investing in really everything

1:27.4

from stocks to Bitcoin.

1:29.7

And she shares what she's learned from a wide range of extraordinary friends, including

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