Russian Oil Priced In Roubles
Patrick Boyle On Finance
Patrick Boyle
4.9 • 320 Ratings
🗓️ 2 April 2022
⏱️ 12 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hello and welcome. You are listening to Patrick Boyle on Finance, a podcast exploring ideas from quantitative finance, examining events occurring in markets right now and financial history to see what lessons can be taken away, including interviews with some of the most interesting people in the world of finance. To learn more about the podcast, visit onfinance.org. |
| 0:26.9 | One of the biggest economic worries in Europe around sanctioning Russia in response to the invasion |
| 0:33.2 | of Ukraine is that Russia could cut off Europe's natural gas supplies. The EU relies on Russia |
| 0:39.8 | for a significant percentage of its energy needs and there are no easy substitutes for |
| 0:45.1 | Russian oil and gas supplies if they are disrupted. So Russia is in a strong position, but |
| 0:51.0 | they do still need to sell to Europe. Russian oil and gas export revenues |
| 0:56.2 | made up roughly 43% of the Kremlin's federal budget between 2011 and 2020. This is revenue |
| 1:03.8 | that they can't afford to lose. They currently get $440 million per day from gas sales to Europe and have no easy way of rerouting this gas |
| 1:14.8 | to other markets due to the way the pipelines are set up. So both Europe and Russia are extremely |
| 1:21.3 | economically reliant on each other. Austria and Germany in particular rely very heavily on Russia for natural gas. |
| 1:29.3 | Turning off the taps for even a few days would cause havoc for these economies, |
| 1:34.3 | but doing this would inflict much greater economic damage on Russia, |
| 1:39.3 | as right now oil and gas exports make up almost the entire Russian economy. Germany and Austria do have |
| 1:46.4 | emergency plans in place to deal with such a situation and they are already in the early |
| 1:52.5 | warning phase, the first of three steps designed to prepare the country for a supply shortage. |
| 1:59.3 | In the final stage the governments would bring in gas rationing. |
| 2:03.4 | Earlier this week, I'm sure you heard Vladimir Putin announced a decree that unfriendly foreign |
| 2:09.5 | countries must start paying for natural gas supplies in roubles, otherwise they'll be cut off. |
| 2:16.8 | The way this new decree works is that buyers in countries |
| 2:20.3 | deemed hostile to Russia, which are basically all of the countries imposing economic sanctions on |
| 2:26.3 | them. I guess he could probably view Ukrainians as a bit hostile too. These countries are required |
| 2:33.3 | to open an account both in foreign currency |
... |
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