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ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

Bankless

Bankless

Tech News, Technology, News

4.71.2K Ratings

🗓️ 20 March 2026

⏱️ 69 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Ryan and David break down a historic week for crypto as the SEC and CFTC finally deliver long-awaited clarity, classifying major tokens and reshaping the market. At the same time, Bitcoin is outperforming stocks and gold amid global tensions, raising the key question: is this a real regime shift or just a relief rally? They also cover the rise of prediction markets, the emerging battle for agentic payments (Tempo vs. Stripe/Coinbase), and crypto’s cultural moment with Vanity Fair and the upcoming SBF Netflix series. --- 📣FIGURE | CRYPTO-BACKED LOANS & ~9% RWA YIELD https://bankless.cc/Figure --- BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🔮POLYMARKET | #1 PREDICTION MARKET https://bankless.cc/polymarket-podcast  🪐GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCE https://bankless.cc/galaxy-podcast  🏅BITGET TRADFI | TRADE GOLD WITH USDT https://bankless.cc/bitget 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | ONCHAIN INSIGHTS https://thedefireport.io/bankless 🐇MEGAETH | 1ST REAL-TIME BLOCKCHAIN https://bankless.cc/megaeth --- TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES 0:00 Intro 3:47 Macro & Markets (Oil, War, Fed) https://apnews.com/article/iran-gas-field-south-pars-attack-5ad45090d3b66444467cc255ee966a37 https://energynow.com/2025/06/what-is-the-strait-of-hormuz-and-why-is-it-so-important-for-oil https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116253388303392718 https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026/?via=bankless? https://x.com/QuintenFrancois/status/2033469474511429805 https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2033322952238723486 https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2032571409273167950 https://x.com/timevalueofbtc/status/2034612806386086296 https://x.com/fintechfrank/status/2033520517009846618 https://farside.co.uk/btc/ https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2034403519609057593 https://x.com/intocryptoverse/status/2033954843048485174 https://thedefireport.io/research/saylor-is-back-in-the-market 22:35 SEC + CFTC Regulatory Clarity https://x.com/SECGov/status/2033996940363317379 https://x.com/SECPaulSAtkins/status/2034012012460556526  https://www.sec.gov/files/rules/interp/2026/33-11412.pdf https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-statements/atkins-remarks-regulation-crypto-assets-031726 https://x.com/Dogetoshi/status/2034011111008178657 https://x.com/BChillman/status/2033913119756714298 https://x.com/jchervinsky/status/2034003107391172946 https://x.com/EleanorTerrett/status/2034450575773884694 https://x.com/tradexyz/status/2034260987197444255 https://x.com/jchervinsky/status/2034269594282500329 44:44 Prediction Markets Expansion + Risks https://dune.com/hildobby/polymarket https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2034272538465841410 https://x.com/manniefabian/status/2033505062031344004 https://x.com/clashreport/status/2033513701735551202 https://polymarket.com/event/iran-military-action-against-israel-on/?via=bankless? https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2033635318662860916 https://x.com/ChairmanSelig/status/2034625252831998397 52:16 Agentic Payments & Tempo (Standards War) https://x.com/Quicknode/status/2034261280354394610 https://x.com/tempo/status/2034253707303338264 https://x.com/clairekart/status/2034279348480737719 https://visacli.sh/ https://x.com/worldnetwork/status/2033923684768092436 https://x.com/CoinDesk/status/2033883474755551595 58:39 Onchain Banking & Ethereum Upgrades https://x.com/zksync/status/2033864749016809582 https://fastconfirm.it/ https://x.com/RyanSAdams/status/2033661196792967254 https://x.com/_julianma/status/2033851796574154808 https://x.com/adietrichs/status/2033863884067475634 1:02:38 Crypto Culture (Vanity Fair + SBF Netflix) https://www.vanityfair.com/news/story/cryptos-true-believers https://x.com/CamiRusso/status/2033946061685850353 https://x.com/DennisonBertram/status/2034013980771877353 https://x.com/netflix/status/2033981949740568829 1:08:31 Closing & Disclaimers --- Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

It is the third week of March, David.

0:07.2

They actually did it.

0:08.4

The SEC and the CFTC just dropped something that is absolutely historic.

0:13.1

This is rulemaking coming from them that gives us the thing we've always asked for, which is some clarity.

0:20.1

Tell us which assets are securities and which aren't in crypto.

0:24.1

They're actually doing that by name.

0:26.2

I think this is one of the biggest things I've actually ever seen on the regulatory front

0:30.5

happened in crypto.

0:32.0

Insanely bullish.

0:33.2

We'll talk about this rulemaking today.

0:35.5

They just went out and said which tokens are commodities and which are not securities.

0:40.4

Basically, nothing is a security.

0:43.3

Gensler said it couldn't be done.

0:45.7

They did it.

0:47.0

It turns out you can just say they're all commodities.

0:50.9

There's nothing stopping that.

0:52.4

Swimming out to the macro markets, though, the all global

0:54.8

markets still remain downstream of the straight of Hormuz, but the crypto markets swimming against

0:59.9

the current? Is there a very impressive, David? You like this? I like this analogy. Yeah,

1:05.6

there might be a regime shift underway in a regime change, if you will, in the crypto markets. Some say there is going to be some, but others say that we are simply in a relief rally before we go into a prolonged to bear market. We're going to give both sides of the arguments. Yeah, both sides argument, but I got my cards on the table on that one. I feel like one is more right than the other. Also, tempo went main net this week, and there seems to be a little battle for agenic payments that's underway. There's two competing standards now with tempo and almost kind of stripe, launching something called MPP, which looks like a commander. Coinbase versus Stripe or Tempo versus Coinbase. Yeah, Tempo and Stripe with MPP and then Coinbase, maybe on the other side with X4 or two. We're going to try to unpack that to see if there's really some rivalry. Also, it's Culture Week for crypto. We made Vanity Fair. There's a photo that was all over Twitter. We'll talk about that photo. And did you know, David, the SBF story is officially coming to Netflix. This is eight episodes. And the question, of course, is who's going to play Sam?

2:02.4

Who's going to play Caroline?

2:03.9

They didn't call us.

...

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