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Forbes Daily Briefing

Retailers Brace For An Uncertain Holiday Season As Consumers Pull Back

Forbes Daily Briefing

Forbes

Careers, Business, News, Entrepreneurship

4.612 Ratings

🗓️ 28 November 2025

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

From tariffs to inflation to the K-shaped economy. Here’s a preview of what’s expected in retail’s biggest months of 2025.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Here's your Forbes Daily Briefing for Friday, November 28th.

0:05.0

Today on Forbes, retailers brace for an uncertain holiday season as consumers pull back.

0:12.0

Today is Black Friday and the holiday season is in full swing, but retailers and customers

0:18.0

aren't exactly feeling cheerful. With consumer confidence near record lows,

0:23.3

a weakening job market, plus tariffs and persistent inflation, experts warn that customers are

0:28.5

pulling back during the busiest season of the year for retailers. The U.S. consumer is on shaky

0:34.9

footing. Consumer sentiment fell to 51 in November, a slight improvement

0:39.8

after a preliminary reading during the government shutdown brought it close to the all-time

0:44.1

low set in June 2022, according to the University of Michigan's widely tracked survey.

0:50.3

Americans are concerned about the labor market, which has already shed more than one million

0:54.7

jobs this year, as well as rising inflation. Complicating this year's shopping season,

1:00.8

are President Donald Trump's tariffs of between 10% and 50% on most U.S. imports, as their fate

1:07.0

rests in the hands of a skeptical Supreme Court, which reportedly could issue a ruling

1:11.5

by the end of the year.

1:13.5

Nonetheless, companies are already hiking prices, and consumers should expect to pay more

1:18.3

for some of the biggest holiday categories, including apparel, electronics, and home decor.

1:24.6

Had the levees been in place last holiday season, shoppers would have paid an extra

1:28.8

$132 per person, translating to a $28.6 billion burden, according to analysis from lending

1:36.4

tree. And the impacts aren't being felt evenly either. Experts are warning of a divided, so-called,

1:43.4

quote, K-shaped U.S. economy, in which wealthier

1:46.8

households are fueling spending, while low-income households are cutting back. The government

1:52.3

shut down, despite ending earlier this month, inflicted pain on federal workers and tens of millions

...

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