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Wall Street Breakfast

Retail sales blow past forecasts

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, Investing, Business, News

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 15 August 2023

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Consumer spending confounds expectations in July, with an Amazon (AMZN) assist. (0:15) Sea Limited (SE) tumbles after earnings. (2:40) More than 70 banks could face credit downgrades. (3:25)

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Show Notes
Money managers boost risk, dump REITs to Lehman levels
Electric vehicle sticker shock: Tesla introduces cheaper versions of the Model S and Model X
Michael Burry's Scion shorts stock market in Q2, exits bank stocks
Home Depot sees comparable sales fall 2% as big-ticket demand lags

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Office Wall Street Lunch. Our afternoon update on today's market action, news, and analysis.

0:10.0

Good afternoon. Today is Tuesday, August 15th I'm your host Kim Kahn. Our top story so far.

0:16.0

The U.S. consumer showed unexpected strength in July, helped in part by a shift in Amazon Prime Day.

0:21.0

Retail sales were 0.7% last month, topping expectations for a 0.4%

0:27.0

gain. Core retail sales gain 1%, confounding forecasts for a drop of 0.3%.

0:33.0

Wells Fargo said somehow rising delinquencies,

0:36.0

higher consumer financing costs,

0:38.0

and the erosion of the pandemic era savings

0:40.0

for the perfect formula for an expectation crushing number. And for an

0:45.0

perfect formula for an expectation crushing number. And for an added flex, the gain comes despite an upward revision to the prior monthly data.

0:49.0

The sales increase for e-commerce heavyweights around the Amazon Prime Day event

0:52.8

helped to boost sales in the non-store retailers category up 10.3% year over year.

0:58.0

Overall, strong sales gains were logged by sporting goods, hobby,

1:02.2

musical instruments in bookstores, and food services and drinking places.

1:06.0

The biggest declines were at furniture and home furnishing stores and at electronics and appliance stores.

1:11.0

Pantheon Macro says it's too soon to conclude that spending growth is re-accelerating.

1:16.6

While they say that's possible, they have two caveats.

1:19.4

The first is that the margin of error and the month-to-month change in advanced retail sales is plus or

1:23.8

minus 0.3 percent, so some of the July strength could be revised away in the months

1:27.9

ahead. The second is that the timing of Amazon Prime Day since COVID has wreaked havoc on the seasonals and they expect a partial reversal of the July jump in the months ahead.

1:38.0

Wells Fargo also noted that five of 13 retailer categories saw sales slip from a year ago.

1:43.6

Now a look at today's trading.

...

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