Retail inflation and big bank earnings arrive
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 7 April 2024
⏱️ 6 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Show Notes
Earnings Calendar
Buy-rated and sell-rated stocks within Technology
Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this |
| 0:09.5 | week's market-moving events along with the weekend's top news and analysis. |
| 0:14.0 | Hello today is Sunday April 7th and I'm your host Kim Khan. |
| 0:18.0 | The top stories to look out for. |
| 0:20.0 | Macro Focus will be on the March Consumer Price Index which hits on Wednesday. |
| 0:23.7 | Economists expect that the headline number was 0.3% on the month, pushing the annual rate up to 3.4% |
| 0:29.4 | from 3.2%. The Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, is forecast to have risen 0.3% as well, with the annual rate ticking down to 3.7%. |
| 0:39.0 | The last time we got CPI figures, Fed Funds futures were pricing in a 70% chance of a rate cut in June. |
| 0:46.2 | Those odds are now down to 50-50 following the stronger than expected rise in March non-farned payrolls. |
| 0:51.7 | Wells Fargo economists say that while their base case is for a hundred basis points of cuts |
| 0:55.8 | this year, risks are skewed towards less easing rather than more, and the CPI and the |
| 1:00.7 | Employment Cost Index at the end of the month will provide evidence that a healthier balance between supply and demand in the labor market is translating to lower inflationary pressures. |
| 1:10.0 | Returning inflation back to 2% for the long haul remains the Fed's primary concern |
| 1:14.6 | and it will take at least a little more progress on the inflation front before the first rate |
| 1:18.4 | cut occurs they add. |
| 1:20.3 | But based on what we know now, the strength of the labor market suggests the FOMC can continue |
| 1:25.2 | to await further improvement on the inflation front before easing policy. |
| 1:29.7 | Meanwhile, the big banks kick off earning season at the tail end of the week. |
| 1:34.0 | Friday will see J.P. Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Blackruck, and Citigroup all issue results pre-market. |
| 1:40.0 | Analysts have noted that investment banking came back strong in Q1, with high yield issuance, |
| 1:44.5 | leverage loans indications, and equity underwriting volumes all at their highest level since |
| 1:49.1 | Q4 of 2021. |
... |
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