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The Breakdown

Regional Bank Turmoil Accelerates as Fed Raises Again with "Hawkish Pause" on Horizon

The Breakdown

Blockworks

Investing, Business

4.8806 Ratings

🗓️ 4 May 2023

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

First Republic failed this week. Did that mean Powell and the Fed would pause their hikes? Absolutely not. NLW covers the "Hawkish Pause" press conference and the 25 bps interest rate raise.  Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribeto the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW “The Breakdown” is written, produced and hosted by Nathaniel Whittemore aka NLW. Research is by Scott Hill. Editing is by Rob Mitchell and Kyle Barbour-Hoffman. Our theme music is “Countdown” by Neon Beach.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW.

0:09.2

It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world.

0:18.4

What's going on, guys? It is Thursday, May 4th, and today we are talking about regional bank turmoil.

0:25.0

The Fed raising rates anyways, but a hawkish pause on the horizon.

0:30.1

Before we get into that, if you are enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe to it,

0:33.3

give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dive deeper into the conversation,

0:36.9

come join us on the Breakers Discord. You can find a link of the show notes or go to bit.ly slash breakdown pod.

0:43.0

All right, friends, well, you know what day it is. It's FOMC day, or rather FOMC Recap Day for

0:49.3

all of us over here at the breakdown. This week presented Jerome Powell and the Fed another interesting opportunity.

0:56.7

Of course you'll know that on Monday, the FDIC seized First Republic Bank, much beleaguered First

1:02.1

Republic Bank after weeks of speculation of what would happen to them, and immediately moved them

1:06.9

over in a pre-negotiated sale with J.P. Morgan Chase. As of Monday morning, all of First

1:12.2

Republic's locations were opened as branches of J.P. Morgan. Now, and so doing, First Republic

1:17.9

knocked off Silicon Valley Bank as the second biggest bank failure in U.S. history.

1:22.8

And perhaps unsurprisingly, then, other regional banks have seen significant turmoil throughout the week.

1:28.3

So the question was, would Powell acknowledge the banking crisis and the shaky ground it seemed to suggest the economy was on,

1:35.3

or would he plow through with the anticipated hike that the markets had been pricing in?

1:40.3

And then, of course, if he did go through with that hike, would his presser afterwards give

1:44.9

any indication about whether the market was correct in their belief as well that whatever

1:49.3

happened at this meeting, it was the likely end of the tightening cycle.

1:53.3

Nick Carter summed this up, saying, the Fed tomorrow.

1:56.5

The banking crisis is really over this time.

...

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