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Rationally Speaking Podcast

Rationally Speaking #169 - Owen Cotton-Barratt on "Thinking About Humanity's Far Future"

Rationally Speaking Podcast

New York City Skeptics

Society & Culture, Skepticism, Science, Philosophy

4.6787 Ratings

🗓️ 2 October 2016

⏱️ 50 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

What can we do now to affect whether humanity is still around in 1000 years (and what life will be like then)? In this episode, Julia talks with Owen Cotton-Barratt, a mathematician at Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute. They cover questions like: Given our poor track record of forecasting, is there any point to speculating about the far future? And is it rational to prioritize current people over future people?

Transcript

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0:00.0

Rationally Speaking is a presentation of New York City skeptics dedicated to promoting critical thinking, skeptical inquiry, and science education.

0:22.4

For more information, please visit us at NYCCEceptics.org.

0:35.3

Welcome to Rationally Speaking, the podcast where we explore the borderlands between reason and nonsense.

0:41.2

I'm your host, Julia Galeith, and with me is today's guest, Owen Cotton-Barritt.

0:45.5

Owen is a mathematician at the Future of Humanity Institute at the University of Oxford,

0:50.4

where his work focuses on, I would describe it as theoretical questions involved in

0:56.5

trying to improve the far future. Owen, welcome to the show. And does that seem like an

1:01.9

accurate way to describe your research? That's a bit grandiose sounding, but that is what the

1:08.1

eventual aim is. It seems like we...

1:13.7

The future could be a very big thing ahead of us,

1:16.5

and if we're able to do things to make it go a bit better

1:19.6

rather than worse, then that could be quite important.

1:22.4

And it's hard to work that out,

1:25.4

but it's maybe important enough that it's worth further study.

1:29.3

What a delightfully affable British way to describe this very important project. I love it.

1:37.1

Just so we can get clear on our terms, when we talk about the far future, what kind of time scale are we talking about?

1:45.7

Is this, you know, 10 years, 100 years, a thousand years? What kind of order of magnitude?

1:52.0

I mean, let's go with 100 years up, but I really do mean up. Not just like capping out at millions of years.

2:03.2

And kind of millions of years is roughly how long humanity has been around for.

2:08.3

Or even necessarily billions of years. At the moment, we are a apparently unique force in the universe because we're not just moving it around

2:23.0

according to kind of following existing patterns but we're building things deliberately as we

2:31.8

want them to be and at the moment we can do that over most of the

...

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