Rate Cut First Step on the Road to Zero – Ep. 488
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 1 August 2019
⏱️ 50 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Today I officially won an ounce of gold! I am referencing a bet that I made back in January of this year. During a panel discussion, I said that I though that the Fed was more likely to cut rates in 2019, than hike them. I was the only person on the panel who believed that. Everybody else thought that the Fed would be raising rates, which pretty much was the conventional wisdom in early January.
Check out My Forecasts in December and January on YouTube
So today, the Fed cut rates, which is what I have been saying they would do. In fact, not only did I put up a small YouTube video of that bet, as well as a video of the entire panel on my YouTube channel. But I also cut a minute or so segment from my interview on the Monday in December 2018 the week the Fed raised rates, 2 days later on a Wednesday. That was the final hike where the Fed went from 2% to 2.25%, to 2.25% to 2.5%.
Fed Cut Rates by 25 Basis Points
I was interviewed by Liz Claman- by the way I will be on Liz Claman's show tomorrow - they've renamed the show it is the Claman Countdown. But when I was on Liz' show back in December I made the forecast then: If the Fed raised rates in December that week, which, I thought they would, (everybody believed they would - they wouldn't want to disappoint the markets) I said that it would be the last hike, and that the very next move that the Fed would make would be to cut rates. And that is exactly what they did today. They cut rates by 25 basis points.
December's Rate Hike Erased
So they basically took away the last rate hike and the rate is now where it was prior to the December rate hike. Now, I believe that cutting rates was a mistake. I think the Fed should have already raised rates by more than they have. Not because the U.S. economy is in great shape, because it's in lousy shape. It is a gigantic bubble. Our Sponsors: * Check out Chilipad and use my code sleep.me/GOLD for a great deal: https://sleep.me * Check out DBJourney and use my code Schiff15 for a great deal: https://dbjourney.com * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com * Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://plaud.ai * Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/gold for a great deal: https://www.quince.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | The Peter Schiff Show |
| 0:05.0 | Today I officially won an ounce of gold. |
| 0:12.0 | I am referencing a bet that I made back in January of this year. |
| 0:18.0 | In fact, it was the day the Patriots beat the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship game. |
| 0:27.0 | I remember I was doing this panel. I had my iPhone on the podium, |
| 0:33.0 | perched up against my water glass, so I can watch the beginning of the game. |
| 0:37.0 | I was able to watch the rest of the game, or mostly the game anyway, in a nearby sports bar. |
| 0:43.0 | But during that panel discussion, I said that I thought the Fed was more likely to cut rates in 2019 than hike them. |
| 0:51.0 | I was the only person on the panel who believed that. |
| 0:54.0 | Everybody else thought that the Fed would be raising rates, |
| 0:57.0 | which was pretty much the conventional wisdom in early January. |
| 1:01.0 | And so today the Fed cut rates, which is what I've been saying they would do. |
| 1:05.0 | In fact, I not only did I put up a small YouTube video of that bet, |
| 1:10.0 | as well as the video of the entire panel, if anybody wants to watch it on the YouTube channel, |
| 1:15.0 | but I also cut a minute or so segment from my interview on the Monday in December of the week |
| 1:25.0 | that the Fed raised rates two days later on a Wednesday. |
| 1:28.0 | That was the final hike where the Fed went from 2 and a quarter or 2 to 2 and a quarter to 2 and a half. |
| 1:36.0 | And I was interviewed by Liz Claimon, by the way, I'm going to be on Liz Claimon's show again tomorrow. |
| 1:41.0 | In fact, they've renamed the show. It's no longer countdown to the closing bell. |
| 1:46.0 | It's the Claimon countdown. So congratulations to Liz for having a show named after her. |
| 1:52.0 | I'm sure her late father would be very proud, who is a fantastic physician out in California. |
| 1:59.0 | And I'm sure her mother is proud. |
... |
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