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The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

Radio Show: Meb's Most Popular Tweet of All Time... Signs of the Top... Listener Q&A | #91

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

The Idea Farm

Management, Investing, Business

4.8978 Ratings

🗓️ 24 January 2018

⏱️ 49 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Episode 91 is a radio show format. We bounce around a bit in this one, starting with Meb’s most popular Tweet of all time. It involves a market record that people decided to politicize. Next are some “signs of the top.” We discuss various indicators that support the general takeaway that (to no one’s surprise) we’re in a frothy market: US investor stock allocations are approaching the highest levels since 2000… Stocks as a percentage of household assets adjust for pensions funds are now the 2nd highest ever… The average expected return of state and local pension funds is 7.5%... The number of days the VIX has spent below “10” in 2017 was 52 (the combined amount for all years dating back to 1999? Less than “10”)… We then discuss Meb’s upcoming personal portfolio rebalance. He publishes this each year, and he gives us the preview. Then there’s a discussion of Bitcoin, and Meb’s thoughts on how an investor might reasonably participate if so desired. Then we hop into some listener/Twitter questions: Is there a broad asset class that appears especially attractive right now? Emerging Markets seems to have gone to a case-by-case situation. Is there an entire asset class you like? Why does value investing works? If you had to buy one country and hold it for 10 years, which one would it be? Have you ever done a back-test combining a simple moving average timing strategy overlaid with a value approach? For instance, going long an asset class when it’s above its SMA, but below a historical multiple? What changed in your investing philosophy in the last year? Value factors been out of favor for a decade or however long. At what point can we say they've been arbed out and not coming back…ever? What is the long term mean or hurdle for real US Treasury rates? Plus, Meb is about to do some traveling overseas. Where’s he headed this time? Find out in Episode 91. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Mebb Fabor Show, where the focus is on helping you grow and preserve your wealth.

0:12.7

Join us as we discuss the craft of investing

0:15.6

and uncover new and profitable ideas,

0:18.4

all to help you grow wealthier and wiser.

0:20.8

Better investing starts here.

0:23.0

Mepp Faber is the co-founder and chief investment officer at Cambria Investment Management.

0:31.0

Due to industry regulations, he will not discuss any of Cambria's funds on this

0:35.5

podcast.

0:36.8

All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not

0:41.0

reflect the opinion of Cambria Investment Management or its

0:43.6

affiliates. For more information visit cambria Investments.com.

0:48.6

Hello podcast listeners welcome to the first radio show of 2018 Jeff how goes it goes good

0:57.8

I hold up it feels like we just did one of these yesterday but it's been over a month

1:01.6

We may have to start doing episodes biweekly.

1:04.0

No, twice weekly.

1:05.9

What's that called twice weekly?

1:08.0

Biweekly?

1:08.8

Okay.

1:09.6

It's late in the day.

1:10.9

Maybe every day.

1:11.6

We just start doing them daily. We'll just record our team

1:15.4

meetings. Anyway, what's going on? Do you have a resolution? I never get into that

...

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