What is up everybody welcome back to the prop cast happy hour I am your host

Cody Carpenter you can find me on Twitter at Carpenter NFL with me this week brand new guest formerly in the chat on every other prop cast happy hour it's a

hon runk to at a hon runk to a h a n are you and gta on the twitters a hon it's Friday it's happy hour I got my T does and cram for the second

week how is your week going my friend not too bad we got a bit of an ugly Thursday night football game but my Zia likely shares are looking a little better after that so I'll take it and I got some water with me so I can finish an article after this and go to the gym so I'm ready.

I do I got a I don't have to go to the gym so I don't have to drive so I'm not driving going downstairs I got a gym downstairs so I will be slightly intoxicated but sometimes those make the better workouts so I respect the water I also got a water over here just so I don't get too dry but we're here talking about some props and we're going to bang through a couple I think we got three each to go through we'll talk a little bit about some game totals.

hon s got a couple lines you likes and maybe a little bit more than that but until then let's jump into this bad boy right now and let's get started a hon with your number 3 play a prop of the week so I do the article series they comes out every Saturday morning on the best pick them lines on underdog and sleeper so couple of these are going to be in that article as well I'll give you one that's not going to be in the article as well and then some of these are on the underdog pick generator on the DFS dominator of the website.

So look into these lines a little bit earlier in the week the number 3 props not going to make it on my final card but it is Jonathan Taylor under 95 and a half Russian plus receiving yards so first off this line is all the way down at 88 and a half on drafting sportsbooks are usually sharp they're smarter than most of the world so if they think that the line the fair line is about 8 and a half you're getting free lunch there by going 95 and a half on the total yard.

And the total yards on underdog and the man's only gone over this line once in the entire year it was week one against the Texans and he was completely healthy let's not overthink this he's gone this under this line and most of the times we don't know if he's going to get full snaps here Sam Ellinger is more of a rushing threat than Matt Ryan I think they have some design runs for him as well and I think Sam Ellinger is going to keep this game pretty competitive maybe hot tape but this is a low implied game.

The total over under for this game is pretty low so the books not expecting a lot of offense Washington number 29th ranked pass defense by DVOA the number 4 ranked rush defense by DVOA Michael Pittman's good Alec Pierce also pretty good I think Sam Ellinger gets his game going through the air and by himself on the ground take some of the pressure off the johnson Taylor the smart way to go here is the under I think a lot of people are even maybe the books are seeing some of the things that are going to be good.

Even maybe the books it seems with this 95 and a half number not giving Ellinger enough credit because he's a massive he's got massive legs on him we know he's a rushing quarterback from his days of Texas I feel like he had double digit rushing touchdowns with already been looking just purely a memory I can remember him always having rushing touch down that game also Taylor coming back fully not healthy 95 and a half man that's a high when I saw you put that on you he's I 50 40 50 like he hasn't done anything since week one and as much as we loved John the Taylor it's just a little bit more

just a number you can't you can't even respect a number like that given the exact situation that Indianapolis the city right now where they need to throw the ball.

New quarterback often should look a little different I think maybe the books are overthinking this a little bit saying you know what new quarterback they're going to need to lean on the run more but even so Taylor's not 100% period so good call on the johnson Taylor number I'm not going to go far from there but I am going to go north to Minnesota where Deandre Hopkins is going to be a little bit more fun.

And he's number 73 and a half on underdog we have him projected for 88 and a half receiving yards 73 and a half on underdog use a promo code underworld over at underdog fantasy to deposit match modes up to $100 on seasons this number 72 and a half and it's all the way at minus 157 unfandal 76 and a half minus 1114 I'll take them all I think he goes over 80 I think he's going to get you know 10 more targets.

And DFS I can understand maybe fading him a little bit because of projected ownership and being the high 7000's area but as far as the props go you know he's going to get his 9 10 11 targets in this game he's going up against Patrick Peterson in Minnesota I'll talk about this game a little bit later when we talk about the totals but the Andre Hopkins should get his 10 11 targets with 10 11 targets against Patrick Peterson and Cameron dance and this Vikings defense it is good.

But indoors at the bowl to be an exploited downfield I like the Andre Hopkins over 73 and a half underdog 72 and a half on ceasers even though it's juiced extremely to minus 157 and then Fandall 76 and a half minus 1114 I'll take that number and run with it where we haven't projected for 88 and a half.

Yeah it is like you said a bit of a high implied total I know you're going to try to pick a side later on in later on on that as well but it's a high total so book think there's going to be offense again and some extra rest for Arizona I like it awesome awesome give me your number two prop of the week.

Number two prop in the week is Tyler Higby prop now Tyler is be props whether or not you're taking over or under it's going to be ugly I'm going in under here again so I'm taking a lot of players today to fail.

But a little bit of a devi downer but first of the rams have some extra rest last year when they had their by week they came out the week afterwards had a pretty good offensive showing against the Packers in that game Odell Beckham Cooper Cup and Van Jefferson all had at least 80 yards in that game.

Tyler Higby one gag for three yards they lean on the receivers more that game this week they're coming off a by week again now Tyler Higby has been pretty up and down not really easy to predict where he's going to go but against the 49ers earlier this year he went off 14 targets 10 receptions it was one of only two times the 49ers let somebody get even 20 yards what a tight end get over 20 yards let alone this number again.

I think they pay a little more extra attention to Tyler Higby.

Well came up a little bit and Van Jefferson Sean McVeigh said Sean McVeigh doesn't really lie that off Sean McVeigh said Van Jefferson's a full go he's going to run the routes he's going to get no limitations I think he's going to be involved immediately and again they're going to keep trying to force feed out on Robinson no matter how.

Dust he is they're going to keep feeding him the low the low implied total again it's 42 and a half it's one of the lower implied totals on the slate again I think a lot of people will pick the I think the public currently is on the ramps to win because they think the offense finally a bit rested it's going to start going off.

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