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The Breakdown

Questions about Bitcoin and Macro to Start the Week

The Breakdown

Blockworks

Business, Investing

4.8806 Ratings

🗓️ 11 June 2024

⏱️ 14 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

NLW looks at the end of last week where we saw a market shift in traditional and crypto markets. Here's what happened, and why. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribe to the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW.

0:09.3

It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the Big Picture Power Shifts remaking our world.

0:18.4

What's going on, guys? It is Monday, June 10th, and today we are catching up on basically everything,

0:24.4

a Friday sell-off, roaring kitty. It is a big catch-up episode. But before we get into that,

0:29.0

if you are enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe to it, give it a rating, give it a review,

0:32.6

or if you want to dive deeper into the conversation, come join us on the Breakers Discord.

0:36.6

You can find a link in the show notes or go to bit.ly slash breakdown pod. All right, friends, well, after a week of strong

0:42.4

performance, Bitcoin stumbled on Friday. There was a sharp 5% sell-off on Friday morning before

0:47.6

price stabilized into the afternoon. Throughout the weekend, Bitcoin traded in a fairly tight range,

0:51.9

slightly above 69,000, failing to show meaningful

0:54.4

momentum. The most prominent trigger of the sell-off was a much stronger than expected jobs

0:58.6

report. On Friday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that non-farm payrolls had

1:02.5

increased by 272,000 in May. Consensus estimates only called for 190,000 additional jobs, so this

1:09.1

was a vast outperformance. Main numbers were also a

1:11.6

significant turnaround from the prior month, which featured a very soft 165,000 added payrolls.

1:16.9

The hotter than expected numbers drove a morning sell-off across all markets, but equities

1:20.5

rebounded much more strongly than Bitcoin. The big takeaway on the street is that the strength

1:24.2

of this jobs report pushes back fed rate cuts. Economist Mohamed Al-Eurion said, it does close the door on a July rate cut. Ira Jersey, chief U.S.

1:32.3

rate strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence said, if you look at SOFR futures, we've actually

1:36.3

priced out an entire cut for the cycle just on this report. After the Bank of Canada and ECB

1:41.2

delivered their first cut last week, there was growing expectation that this

1:44.2

week's Fed meeting would be extremely dubbish. A Fed rate cut this month wasn't on the board,

...

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