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More or Less: Behind the Stats

Questioning the Chernobyl disaster death count

More or Less: Behind the Stats

BBC

Business, Mathematics, Science, News Commentary, News

4.63.5K Ratings

🗓️ 21 June 2019

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The recent TV miniseries ‘Chernobyl’ has stirred up debate online about the accuracy of its portrayal of the explosion at a nuclear power plant in the former Soviet state of Ukraine. We fact-check the programme and try and explain why it so hard to say how many people will die because of the Chernobyl disaster. Image: Chernobyl nuclear power plant a few weeks after the disaster. Credit: Getty Images

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to your weekly safe dose of statistics analysis here on More or Less

0:11.3

on the BBC World Service.

0:13.0

See, a just world is a sane world.

0:22.5

There was nothing sane about Chernobyl.

0:28.2

This is a trailer for the HBO Sky TV series Chernobyl, which has brought renewed focus

0:34.2

on the biggest nuclear accident in history.

0:37.5

In 1986 there was an explosion at a nuclear power plant in the former Soviet state of Ukraine.

0:44.9

Are we actor core exploded, starting a fire on the ground and sending a radioactive cloud

0:49.7

of material into the atmosphere which would eventually make its way across parts of Europe?

0:55.0

Tell me how to put it up.

0:56.8

You are dealing with something that has never occurred on this planet before.

1:07.0

It's a five-part drama which feels incredibly realistic.

1:11.0

We've been watching in the More or Less shared house and we love it and we're not the

1:15.0

only ones.

1:16.0

So has Professor Jim Smith of Port Smith University in the UK?

1:20.8

Well, I thought as a drama it was a fantastic drama and it had me totally gripped partly

1:25.7

because I've spent nearly the last 30 years of my life studying Chernobyl.

1:29.5

But he had a few thoughts on the accuracy of some of the details.

1:33.8

As I was watching it out, my wife was sat next to me and she was getting sick of me sort

1:37.8

of muttering that didn't happen.

1:40.1

That didn't happen.

1:41.0

Well, that did happen.

...

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