4.6 • 3.5K Ratings
🗓️ 17 December 2022
⏱️ 9 minutes
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0:00.0 | This, as you may or may not know, is one of the official theme songs of the 2022 World Cup. |
0:14.1 | The first weeks of the tournament seem to have been full of goals and upsets, but as we |
0:18.6 | got to the sharp end of the tournament, it seems to have been full of penalties and penalty |
0:23.0 | shootouts. England have been knocked out of the World Cup after the reigning champions |
0:29.9 | France beat them two-one in the quarter-fimals. The captain Harry Kane leveled the game, but |
0:35.1 | missed a second penalty towards the end of the match. Croatia has throoged the semi-finals |
0:39.4 | of the football World Cup, beating the favourites Brazil in a penalty shootout. |
0:43.6 | Argentina are through to the semi-finals of the football World Cup after beating the |
0:47.8 | Netherlands 4-3 on penalties. I'm Ben Carter and as more or less as soccer ball correspondent, |
0:54.6 | it's been part of my job to watch every game in the World Cup, even if that's meant I've |
0:59.2 | had to go and watch some games in a bar with my editor. But I've not done this for fun, |
1:04.2 | I'm doing it for the data and in today's programme we're going to be looking at the data |
1:09.0 | behind penalties. First of all, we need an expert. My name is Ben Lippleton, I'm the author |
1:15.5 | of 12 yards, the art and psychology of the perfect penalty. Good, he sounds perfect. Let's start |
1:23.6 | our dribble through the data with a look at penalties with the most important number in penalty |
1:28.7 | analysis. Now the key figure to remember when talking about penalties across the board is the |
1:35.7 | figure of 78 percent because that is the average scoring rate for a penalty kick. So usually there's |
1:43.9 | about a two in ten chance of missing a penalty. But in this tournament, if you look at penalties |
1:49.3 | taken during matches, the success rate is down. With just a few games left, there have been 20 penalties |
1:57.2 | taken in open clay of which 14 have been scored, which is a scoring conversion rate at 70 percent. |
2:06.2 | So three in ten are being missed. Why is this success rate down? Well Ben has a couple of theories. |
2:12.6 | There is a heightened pressure to taking penalties at the World Cup or at least there is something going |
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