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Tesla Daily: Tesla News & Analysis

Q3 Delivery & Production Estimates/Preview (10.01.20)

Tesla Daily: Tesla News & Analysis

Rob Maurer

Tech News, Technology, News

4.81.1K Ratings

🗓️ 1 October 2020

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

YouTube link: https://youtu.be/OqjjGz5FpSc

➤ In depth forecast of Tesla's Q3 2020 delivery and production numbers as well as analyst consensus estimates
➤ Tesla is expected to report Q3 delivery and production numbers before October 5th, likely on October 2nd
➤ Early forecast for Q4 and full year 2020 production and whether or not Tesla will their original 500,000 unit guidance

#Tesla #TSLA #Investing

Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/teslapodcast
Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/tesladailypodcast

Plaid producer Who Why
Plaid producer Ice Lakes Investments
Ludicrous producer Fred Hassen
Executive producer Rish Singh
Executive producer Jeremy Cooke
Executive producer Nick Wood
Executive producer Troy Cherasaro
Executive producer Bradford Ferguson
Executive producer Andre/Maria Kent
Executive producer Jeff Sheets
Music by Evan Schaeffer

Disclosure: Rob Maurer is long TSLA stock & derivatives

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hey, everybody Rob mower here and today we are going through Q3 delivery and production number forecasts,

0:13.0

as well as a little bit of a preview for Q4 as well.

0:16.1

As a reminder, we should get the official report

0:18.0

from Tesla sometime within the next three business days.

0:20.7

So I do expect it tomorrow Friday,

0:22.4

either before market open or aftermarket

0:24.4

close but it could come as late as end of day on Monday or even over the weekend.

0:28.9

If you are normally an audio podcast only listener I would recommend checking this out on

0:33.1

YouTube because I'm going to go through my spreadsheet. That link will be in the

0:36.5

show notes so with that being said let's get right into it so here you can see my

0:39.9

production of forecast kind of breaking things up by a segment, usually month, and then summing them up for the quarter.

0:46.0

And in some cases, the months are broken up if there is known downtime for a portion of that month.

0:52.0

So unlike other forecasts that you're going to see, this is a production. time for a portion of that month.

0:52.5

So unlike other forecasts that you're going to see,

0:54.3

this is a production forecast for me.

0:55.9

A lot of people do delivery estimates.

0:58.0

We'll go through delivery estimates, but for me,

0:59.7

production is more important,

1:01.1

and then I take that production forecast and work into my delivery

1:03.6

estimate. So we'll go through all the logic here point by point but just to orient people again with

1:08.1

the spreadsheet or for the first time if you're not familiar. I have the total production forecasts or actuals on the left-most

1:15.9

column. Then I have Fremont and Shanghai broken out individually so the sum of those

...

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