Project Prospect - 2023 Rookies After One Month
Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball
The Athletic
4.7 • 875 Ratings
🗓️ 2 May 2023
⏱️ 64 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
DVR, Eno and Welsh review some of the biggest rookie performances from April. Who to buy and sell, plus some Dynasty rank overall changes.
Rundown
1:27 - Outman production vs K rate
12:45 - Corbin Carroll
18:28 - Esteury Ruiz
22:31 - Josh Jung's adjustment for more power
26:39 - The "who got demoted" game
29:25 - Oscar Colas
34:04 - Outman vs Colas
42:34 - Could Evan Carter get called up?
50:45 - Wander Franco's dynasty rise
59:33 - What pitchers are left to speculate on in the minors
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow Welsh on Twitter: @isitthewelsh
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Ray, it's in Beryl. It's Tuesday, May 2nd. It's a project prospect edition. I love arbitrary cutoffs on the calendar. We have a new |
| 0:24.0 | month. I'm excited about it because then we can just take a snapshot of the season and talk about |
| 0:28.8 | that like it means even more than it actually does. I love to blow things out of proportion with |
| 0:33.6 | arbitrary units of time, even though the calendar is pretty well agreed upon as the way we measure time now. |
| 0:40.3 | Chris Welsh, Eno Seris, Derek Van Riper, all here with you on this Tuesday for our April rookie review. |
| 0:46.2 | We're going to talk about some players at the big league level, how they have performed so far, |
| 0:49.6 | and probably dig into some players from a dynasty perspective as well and talk about how their value has shifted over the course of the season so far. Now, we're going to start on the position player |
| 0:59.4 | side today. And we're going to start with James Outman, who from many angles looks like someone |
| 1:06.0 | that's going to be relevant for the Dodgers for a good while, despite the fact that he has struck out 34.2% |
| 1:13.8 | of the time this season, because he does a lot of things well. He makes very hard contact. |
| 1:18.9 | He's got a strong arm. He runs well. He actually takes walks. So he's got this thing, and I talked |
| 1:25.3 | about it with Welsh a little bit before the show, you know, where it's this sort of, it's the sort of tension that you have between strikeout rate and doing damage. |
| 1:34.4 | And Outman does enough damage for us to excuse the elevated strikeout rate, but it always leads us to the long-term viability question. |
| 1:42.5 | What kind of role do we see for Outman and do we see a path forward where you can improve? |
| 1:47.6 | Because this is his first prolonged exposure to big league pitching. |
| 1:50.6 | And there are a lot of interesting skills in what he brings to the table. |
| 1:55.5 | I mean, when you see a 34% strikeout rate, which I think is probably close to his true talent. |
| 2:02.0 | I know we've only seen 130 play to play in this for James Outman, but he strings and misses |
| 2:07.2 | a lot, and he was near 30 percent in the minor league. |
| 2:09.4 | So I think 35 is about what you expect. |
| 2:12.4 | Now you take that and say, as a lefty against the lefty, what do you expect? |
| 2:17.1 | 38 percent? 40 percent? And if it's 40%, |
... |
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