Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to another episode of Real Politics. I am your host,

Firasmodad, and today we're going to be talking a little bit more about the Iran War,

how things seem to be going from an American perspective. And then we're going to pivot a little bit

and talk about Lebanon and the planned Israeli invasion for that country.

Now, if we look at what's been happening in the war itself, the Americans have been bombing

quite heavily the west and southwest of Iran, with the idea being that they

want to destroy a significant amount of Iran's missile launch capabilities. And we keep hearing that

the number of launchers has been massively reduced, and the actual firing rate of the Iranians has reduced quite significantly,

but there are two points that I want to make. The first point is that the U.S. is focusing on attacking this

area in the west of the country and then moving inwards so that they can target Tehran more effectively

and target the center of the country more effectively and that as a strategy makes sense but there's one thing

to consider which is that if you're the Iranians once some of your bases are damaged

these are in a lot of cases underground bases and the tunnel entrances are being damaged.

And it takes a bit of time to reopen them. So what you might consider doing is delaying reopening these tunnels and delaying resuming the use of these bases because they've been exposed

and focusing a little bit on survivability of your ability to launch weapons so that as the Iranians continue to degrade the radars and the air defenses of the United States and Israel, they would

then be in a position to deliver a large strike near the end of the war. And this isn't unusual.

This is exactly how Hezbollah fought in 2006. In 2006, Hezbollah made a point of making sure that the last day of the war, right before the

ceasefire took effect, was the day in which they launched the largest number of missiles

and delivered, therefore, the biggest blow. And they were able to use that to spin a victory

narrative. So if you're Iran and you're

fighting kind of as an insurgency, which is what the Iranians are doing, then that makes sense.

And the US strategy of detecting the entrances of these tunnels trying to damage them and destroy

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