Predicting the Past (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
Robert Wright's Nonzero
Nonzero
4.7 • 618 Ratings
🗓️ 23 August 2024
⏱️ 44 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
0:28 Bob and Paul’s time-warping podcast experiment 3:34 Does thinking in bets better your thinking? 9:38 Past prediction 1: Will the presidential race tighten up? 17:10 J.D. Vance memes of yester-month 22:41 Past prediction 2: Who will Kamala pick for VP? 28:52 When reality gets weird 39:26 Heading to Overtime
Robert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True) and Paul Bloom (https://smallpotatoes.paulbloom.net, University of Toronto, The Sweet Spot, Against Empathy). Recorded July 26, 2024.
Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | You're listening to Robert Wright's Non-Zero podcast. You're listening to Robert Wright's Non-Zero Podcasts. |
| 0:27.6 | Hello, Paul Bloom, publisher of the Small Potato's newsletter, famous psychologist and writer. |
| 0:34.6 | How are you? |
| 0:35.6 | I am good. |
| 0:36.6 | Hello, Robert Wright. |
| 0:39.7 | Published a non-zero newsletter. |
| 0:43.3 | Podcaster, public intellectual scholar. |
| 0:45.5 | Extraordinary, I might add. |
| 0:46.3 | The end of all that. |
| 0:47.8 | Renaissance, man. |
| 0:48.9 | That. |
| 0:55.7 | So, we're entering a bold experiment in podcasting today, Paul. |
| 0:57.0 | It's like a time machine. |
| 0:57.7 | We'll explain this. |
| 0:58.5 | It's like a time machine. |
| 0:59.7 | It's like a time machine. |
| 1:04.4 | So we're recording this at least two weeks before it's going to be posted. |
| 1:08.8 | Now, people should not tune out when they hear that for fear that won't be topical. |
| 1:14.7 | I mean, obviously it won't be topical, but it'll be more interesting than topical, right? The word is evergreen. |
| 1:22.9 | Evergreen. We're taping an evergreen to accommodate Paul's schedule, but I'm not going to get into it. I'm not going to go there. I really like you a lot. I'm going to Asia to travel through many countries to promote small potatoes, my substack, |
| 1:31.3 | meeting with potatoes and Thailand and Bali. |
| 1:35.2 | This is not true. I am going to Asia, but it has nothing to do with my substack, |
... |
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