Predicting the News
On the Media
WNYC Studios
4.6 • 9.1K Ratings
🗓️ 22 April 2026
⏱️ 18 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hey, you're listening to the On the Media Midweek podcast. I'm Michael Lohinger. |
| 0:04.1 | There's been a flurry of activity surrounding the business of prediction markets, specifically |
| 0:09.6 | Kalshi and Polly Market, sites that claim to be more like the stock market than traditional |
| 0:15.1 | betting, since you're wagering against other people rather than the house. |
| 0:19.5 | Recent headlines have been filled with stories of |
| 0:22.0 | people betting on when the Iran war would end, where the bombs would drop, and when that U.S. |
| 0:28.3 | airmen would be rescued, with some suspiciously well-timed bets making some users a ton of cash, |
| 0:35.9 | all of which has lawmakers clutching their pearls. |
| 0:39.3 | Last week, at a congressional hearing on the subject, Michael Seelig, the current chair of the |
| 0:44.6 | CFTC, the Commodities Future Trading Commission, tried to reassure members of both parties |
| 0:50.7 | that his agency was investigating allegations of insider trading. But as John Oliver |
| 0:56.8 | reported on his show this weekend... And while C-Liggs recently made noises about stronger enforcement, |
| 1:02.0 | it is hard to take him at his word, given that during his confirmation hearings, he told Congress |
| 1:07.0 | he let courts decide whether these companies constitute gambling. |
| 1:14.0 | But in office, he's done the exact opposite of that. |
| 1:17.3 | In fact, more than a dozen states are currently suing prediction markets. But rather than let that play out in the courts, like he promised, C-League posted this video. |
| 1:24.0 | To those who seek to challenge our authority in this space, let me be clear. |
| 1:29.9 | We will see you in court. |
| 1:32.1 | What a f***ing weasel? |
| 1:34.7 | Not for nothing, CILIG is the only sitting member on a panel that should have five. |
| 1:40.6 | Meanwhile, a bipartisan group of lawmakers have proposed a bill that would bar federal employees from using non-public information to make bets on prediction markets, one of several bipartisan moves in Congress to regulate the sites. |
| 1:55.6 | Sports betting exploded in the United States after a 2018 Supreme Court decision legalized online gambling. |
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