Predict The FUTURE, Feel Ready for ANYTHING and Prepare for the World AHEAD | Jane McGonigal
Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Impact Theory
4.7 • 5.2K Ratings
🗓️ 12 April 2022
⏱️ 68 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
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"The best way to predict the future is to invent it." - Alan Kay
In today’s era of ever-accelerating change, it might seem impossible to predict the future with any degree of accuracy. Likewise, it might be easy to assume that the only way to do so is through sophisticated AI algorithms and data science.
Incredibly, Jane McGonigal and her colleagues at Institute for the Future have been able to predict several of today’s most disruptive trends as much as ten years in advance.
Through her innovative use of alternate reality games, hyper-specific journaling techniques, and something called “future backcasting”, Jane continues to not only lay out seemingly impossible future scenarios, but also help prepare people to be proactive in building the future they want to see.
If you like what you see in today’s episode, then I highly encourage you to check out Jane’s latest book, Imaginable: How to See the Future Coming and Feel Ready for Anything―Even Things That Seem Impossible Today
Order your copy by clicking here: https://amzn.to/3JwImO2
SHOW NOTES:
00:00 | Introduction
01:40 | A New Approach to Futurism
13:23 | The Psychology of Predicting the Future
22:50 | Rehearsing Catastrophes
32:56 | How to Practice for the Future
38:18 | Crypto, Government, and Privacy
48:31 | Future Backcasting
53:54 | The Future of Web3 Gaming
QUOTES:
“The brain normally assumes things will continue as they are. But what that means is it can be very hard to wake up and realize this thing that used to be true is no longer true, or this assumption I had is no longer helpful.” [09:54]
“We do try to have this balance of positive and shadow imagination, because really, any future is going to have complications, but also perhaps unexpected benefits where people use it as an opportunity to create positive change.” [15:31]
“To start your process of having to adapt or deal with a crisis or disruption from a state of confidence and clarity, rather than anxiety, confusion, feeling helpless - it really changes the way that you emotionally experience things that can create a lot of suffering.” [26:53]
“Try to backcast all the way to as far as what could you do in the next 24 hours to make this future more likely. Just force yourself to roll up your sleeves and do something to start trying to have an impact on this future.” [51:51]
Follow Jane McGonigal:
Website: https://janemcgonigal.com/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/avantgame
LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/3jpyRpj
Urgent Optimists: https://urgentoptimists.org/
Order your copy of Imaginable: https://amzn.to/3JwImO2
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | This episode is brought to you by Slack. With Slack, you can bring all your people and |
| 0:05.9 | tools together in one place. It's your digital HQ where you can increase productivity, |
| 0:11.1 | enable flexibility and automate workflows. Plus, Slack is full of game-changing features, |
| 0:16.9 | like huddles for quick check-ins, or Slack Connect, which helps you connect with partners |
| 0:21.0 | inside and outside of your company. Slack, where the future works. Get started at |
| 0:27.0 | Slack.com and your company. Get started at Slack. |
| 0:32.0 | Get started at Slack. With Slack, you can bring all your people and tools together in |
| 0:37.0 | one place. It's your digital HQ where you can increase productivity, enable flexibility |
| 0:42.0 | and automate workflows. Plus, Slack is full of game-changing features, like huddles for |
| 0:47.0 | quick check-ins, or Slack Connect, which helps you connect with partners inside and |
| 0:51.0 | outside of your company. Slack, where the future works. Get started at Slack. |
| 0:56.0 | Get started at Slack.com slash DHQ. |
| 0:59.0 | Daughters Law says any useful idea about the future should it first seem ridiculous. |
| 1:06.0 | And that's really important to hold in our minds, right? Because on one hand, it's easy |
| 1:11.6 | to prepare for futures. That sound normal, that feel like kind of continuation of today, |
| 1:17.8 | but it's the weird stuff that catches us off guard. Is Daughters Law trying to shock people |
| 1:22.2 | or knock people out of the normalcy bias? Exactly. So we all have this normalcy bias. |
| 1:27.2 | Our brain is designed to make sense of the world in a way that doesn't overwhelm us. |
| 1:33.2 | And so it wants to believe that patterns that have been true in the past, or things that |
| 1:38.2 | are true today, will continue to be so because of constantly waking up every day. |
| 1:42.2 | You know, how do things work now? Like, oh, what's going on? It's too stressful. |
| 1:46.2 | It's too overwhelming. And so the brain normally assumes things will continue as |
... |
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