Pondering Projection Adjustments
Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball
The Athletic
4.7 • 875 Ratings
🗓️ 15 January 2020
⏱️ 73 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Rundown
6:30 Looking Forward: Adjust Houston Hitters?
15:21 Using Projections to Find Bounce-Back Candidates
22:09 Vlad Jr. vs. Similarly Priced Third Basemen
29:24 Adjusting Appropriately for Injuries
37:12 Does Pedigree Matter When Throwing Late Darts?
46:53 Hitter/Pitcher Split in Draft & Hold vs. Other Formats
58:26 On Big Contracts
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
E-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Rates and Beryl's episode number 61. It is Tuesday, January 14th, 2020. Derek Van Riper here with Enosaris. |
| 0:23.9 | On this episode, we will discuss the potential adjustments that you might want to make to your projections for Astros hitters in 2020. |
| 0:31.5 | Eno wrote a piece about bounce back hitters last week that had a few bigger picture ideas that I wanted to discuss with him. |
| 0:36.8 | So we'll talk about that. And we'll get to some mailbag questions, including one interesting |
| 0:40.9 | one about hitter versus pitcher resource allocations and how that might vary in different |
| 0:45.6 | league formats, including draft and hold. Some big show news. We're going back to two episodes |
| 0:51.3 | per week starting next week. So Tuesday and Thursday afternoons, you should have us available for commutes and dog walks and all the things |
| 0:58.4 | you have in the later part of your day. We are available now on iTunes, Spotify, Stitcher, |
| 1:03.3 | pretty much anywhere else you want to listen to podcasts. If you're enjoying this show on a |
| 1:07.2 | platform that allows you to rate and review it. We'd really appreciate it if you took |
| 1:10.9 | the time to give us a rating and review. Some of you might be listening to this show for the |
| 1:15.5 | first time. If you are welcome. If you're not already subscriber to The Athletic, you can get |
| 1:19.0 | 40% off a subscription at The Athletic.com slash rates and barrels. Everything we do is included |
| 1:24.9 | with a subscription. Eno, I appreciate you taking the time to do this pod today, in part because you're in |
| 1:31.6 | Las Vegas. |
| 1:32.2 | You're there for the FSGA, the industry conference. |
| 1:35.7 | And I know it's hard to get away from anything when you're in Las Vegas to record a |
| 1:39.8 | podcast. |
| 1:41.5 | I hate Las Vegas. With the fire of a thousand burning suns. |
| 1:49.0 | It's got this, it just reeks of desperation and cigarette smoke and just like gaudy death. |
| 2:04.2 | You know, it's just gross. |
| 2:06.8 | You know, I'm a big Hunter S. Thompson fan. |
... |
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