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The Gist

Pollster Pitfalls

The Gist

Peach Fish Productions

News, Daily News

4.53.7K Ratings

🗓️ 14 October 2020

⏱️ 40 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On the Gist, an Alaskan drama. In the interview, Mike talks with Robert Cahaly, head pollster of the Atlanta-based Trafalgar Group. Cahaly explains their polling methodology in gathering accurate opinion data, why social desirability bias comes into play, and how his team was able to predict Trump's win in 2016. Now he posits that in 2020 Trump has more support than the polls could be showing.  In the spiel, Kabuki-style hearings continue for Amy Coney Barrett. Email us at thegist@slate.com Podcast production by Daniel Schroeder and Margaret Kelley. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

The following program may contain potty talk, no guarantee, but it just may.

0:09.0

It's Wednesday, October 14, 2020 from Slate, it's the gist I'm Mike Pesca. Today was the last

0:16.0

day of hearings for Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett. I watch them. I will bring them to

0:22.5

you in the spiel. I will not be distracted by issues of lesser importance from far-flung states. Oh

0:30.4

God, date line anchorage. Ethan, it's Maria Athens for Fox ABCW who's that National Alaska. I just

0:37.7

learned from my, uh, Amy award winning journalism. You're also a pedophile and like little girls and

0:44.7

children. That is local Alaska reporter Maria Athens who is the Fox ABC and CW News Net Alaska lead

0:54.0

news anchor. And when you're the anchor of anchorage, it's like being the treasurer for the finance

1:00.0

club or the sign that the sign maker himself uses outside his store. What I'm saying is a doubly

1:05.9

big deal. So our local news source Maria Athens has some explosive revelations ready to go. They are

1:13.3

about Ethan Berkowitz, anchorages mayor. But as soon as the voicemail that I just played you was

1:20.8

made public. And as soon as Athens posted a video on Facebook, the mayor reacted. He made his

1:28.4

own statement and he tried to rest control of the narrative. He admitted to having, I guess, an affair

1:35.4

over text. He sexted with Maria Athens. That's it. It wasn't more. It was sexting. All right. So

1:43.6

let's assess the credibility of what else anchorage is own Maria Athens asserts. And there's a

1:51.3

website. I'm so fucking exposing you. I'm going to get an Emmy. Wait, is that I'm so fucking

1:56.8

exposing you dot com or I'm so fucking exposing you. I'm going to get an Emmy dot com unclear on

2:02.1

the name of the website. And I thought she already deployed Emmy award-winning journalism. Didn't

2:06.9

she say that in the first 15 seconds? Anyway, what this points out to me is that Maria Athens needs a

2:11.8

good editor. All journalists do. I think I can help. Let's listen. Do you either turn yourself in,

2:17.2

kill yourself or do what you need to do? I will personally kill you and Mark Himmel. My god,

2:23.2

myself, you Jewish piece of living fucking shit. Maria, Maria, Maria, Maria, understand your

...

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