Hello and welcome to the Intelligence from the Economist.

Today from London, I'm your host, Jason Palmer.

Every weekday we provide a fresh perspective on the events shaping your world.

In Malawi, the memories of beatings and shootings from three years ago are still fresh.

The democracy that bloomed from that violent transition is held up as a regional success story.

Remaking Malawi's economy, though, is proving harder still.

And Ukraine's forces have won lots of Russian military kit in the course of the invasion.

Much of it isn't a great interest, but one particular tank will prove a tremendous prize

in the current conflict and during any future Russian adventurism.

First up, though.

For months, polls in Brazil had been predicting an end to the presidency of Giair Bolsonaro.

Last night, almost 120 million votes were counted across the country,

one of the largest democracies on Earth in the first round of the presidential elections.

Polls had predicted a double-digit lead for the leftist challenger and former leader Luis Inacio Lula da Silva,

widely known as Lula. Supporters gathered ready to celebrate on the streets.

For a while, as votes were tallied, Mr. Bolsonaro was ahead.

Then came the moment that Lula took the lead.

With nearly all of the votes in, Lula clearly has more of them,

but he failed to achieve the 50 percent needed to avoid a runoff vote on October 30th.

I always thought that we would win the elections, Lula said,

and we will. This is just overtime.

Mata, si igual, quenfracada lado, passe igual.

...