meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Log in
Politix

Poll Dancing

Politix

Politix

Politics, News Commentary, News

4.61.4K Ratings

🗓️ 28 October 2022

⏱️ 91 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Survey data has become the North Star of the Democratic Party and politically active liberals. Statisticians proved to be better forecasters of election outcomes than pundits and strategists, so over the past decade and a half we’ve outsourced the whole vocation of politics to them. It was a fateful development, but it hasn’t been a smashing success. Have we landed in the best possible place? Or can we do better? Why don’t Republicans follow this same strategy? Conversely, with Republicans given back over to highly compromised candidates in this election, why are Democrats shrugging off their scandals and sticking to the pocketbook issues playbook? Especially when that playbook has such mixed results. Data journalist and Washington Post opinion columnist Perry Bacon Jr. joins Brian to talk about the limits of quantitative methods in politics, and how a smarter approach to data can help Democrats, when democracy itself is on the line.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hi everyone, welcome to Positively Dreadful with me, your host, Brian Boiler.

0:24.7

So how many times have you heard democratic politicians and party leaders say something

0:29.6

like this? Our country is at risk. Our democracy is at risk. But what we are

0:36.5

campaigning on are the kitchen table issues that affect America's working

0:40.3

families. That was Nancy Pelosi, but it could have been any other leader finding

0:47.4

some way to say we get that there are huge crises facing the country and the

0:52.7

world. But we know that voters care first and foremost about their

0:56.4

pocketbooks. So forgive us for talking about that stuff instead.

1:01.8

Or how about this one? In Georgia right now, the incumbent senator Raphael

1:08.0

Warnock is blessed to be running against a geo-pinominee Herschel Walker whose

1:13.5

only attributes are that he's a friend of Donald Trump's and a former football

1:18.4

star. Walker's been a terrible candidate in just about every other

1:22.8

respect, including in serially lying about children, he fathered out of

1:27.0

wedlock, and even an abortion he paid for several years back, all while he now

1:32.2

runs on criminalizing abortion nationwide. Against that backdrop, here's a

1:38.2

fairly typical quote from Warnock about his opponent's record. We do know that

1:43.3

my opponent has trouble with the truth, and we'll see how this all plays out. But I

1:48.3

am focused squarely on the healthcare needs of my constituents, including

1:52.2

reproductive healthcare. Now, you might think that's shrewd or savvy or you might

1:57.7

find it maddening the way I do, but you can't deny that it's a pivot away from

2:02.9

the passions of the moment to something else. Something in the material realm

2:07.9

usually healthcare costs or access. And I want to say if you aren't a fan of

...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Politix, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of Politix and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2026.