Players Vegas Is Higher On Than Your Idiot Leaguemates
BDGE Fantasy Football
BDGE
4.8 • 808 Ratings
🗓️ 13 July 2026
⏱️ 14 minutes
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Summary
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0:00 - it's rude to skip intros
0:59 - javonte williams, RB, DAL
3:30 - davante adams, WR, LAR
6:37 - jared goff, QB, DET
8:16 - dj moore, WR, BUF
10:07 - tyler shough, QB, NO
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, friends and enemies. |
| 0:03.3 | In today's video, we're going to go over five players whose Vegas lines are higher. |
| 0:09.2 | They are more juicy than your idiot league mates are giving them credit for. |
| 0:12.8 | And by that, I mean, we're going to look at their ADP or we're going to look at why they should be higher based on what Vegas lines currently have them on going into the 2026 fantasy season. |
| 0:21.4 | And listen, I understand. Vegas lines are not a perfect science here. They are one tool in the |
| 0:26.2 | tool bag. It is an imperfection. They are a line set to have wagers on both sides of the lines to get |
| 0:33.4 | it even. The lines are very low liquidity. The bookmakers don't necessarily put a ton of time into making these very, very sharp. But I do think it's a nice indicator of where players are going relative to other players at the same position. I do think you could almost use them as like bumpers of how you can be looking at players. So don't take these as gospel. We're just going to, |
| 0:54.6 | we're just going to conversate. We're going to talk through them and see what I am seeing |
| 0:58.1 | through these eyes. Let's jump in here. And the first player on this list that Vegas has much |
| 1:03.2 | higher and I have much higher than your idiot league mates is Javante Williams, all right? Running back |
| 1:08.5 | for the Dallas Cowboys. Currently, ADP of RB17, |
| 1:12.6 | however, Vegas has him four figures deep in his rushing line at 1,000 yards, plus nine and a half |
| 1:18.6 | rushing touchdowns. This is feeling like one of the most overthought players in fantasy football |
| 1:23.7 | this year, a guy that's getting drafted at like the three, four turn, sometimes in the fourth round of full PPR leagues, which I'm fine. I think it's a fool's errand to try to predict a running backs like efficiency numbers on targets and receptions on a year to year basis. It's a small sample size. Very little things can kind of dictate whether you're half a yard up or half a yard down from the previous year. Scheme matters a lot and those kind of things. |
| 1:45.5 | So when I look at Javante Williams, I see very much like Josh Jacobs a few years ago. You have a younger dude who's kind of a bruising back, but you're the clear goal line back, the clear early down back attached to a very high scoring offense with a very good offensive line, not, you know, the elite lines of the Zhekel Elliott years, but the Dallas Cowboys line is at worst, a top 15 line, probably closer to that top 10 to 12 line, especially if some of their offensive linemen like really step up this year. So Javante is going to be a guy who is just sitting there within the 10 yard line, within the five yard line on an offense very high-scoring. And the thing that should make us and why Vegas is probably so excited about him |
| 2:21.6 | is the fact that they added nothing to this backfield depth. Like they didn't take a player in the |
| 2:26.2 | second or third or fourth or in those earlier like juicy rounds to actually supplement the |
| 2:31.7 | backfield in terms of depth. They saw what Javante Williams did last year, gave him 250 carries, average nearly five yards per carry, and said, we're just going to do that again. Like, sure, Jadon Blue, maybe he's ready to play in the NFL this year, but I don't think that's a given. Like maybe he takes some of those third down and long snaps, those two and four minute drill snaps. That's also not really why you're drafting a dude like Jamant de Williams. It's not a reason why you would be drafting a dude like Josh Jacobs. They are like the perfect RB2 to supplement your backfield because the volume is going to be so high. And I think he's getting a little bit of recency bias because he slowed down a little bit by the end of the year and people are kind of remembering that but the beginning of the year was incredible. If you flip those two, I think we'd be a lot higher on Javante Williams. But overall, like the reason that I like Javante so much is just attachment to that offense. Rushing touchdowns are a product of a good offense and the lack of depth added to this backfield makes him one of the |
| 3:25.6 | better picks in fantasy football this year in my opinion based on where he's going right now in |
| 3:29.0 | drafts next up we've got devante adams wide receiver for the los angeles rams right now is |
| 3:35.0 | a dp is wide receiver 25 Vegas has his receiving touchdown line at nine and a half receiving touchdowns. |
| 3:42.6 | His odds to lead the league are tied with the top players in the league. |
... |
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