PG46: Kasich’s Folly, Bernie’s Future, and Garland’s Chances

The Politics Guys

Michael Baranowski

Politics, News

4.4 • 783 Ratings

🗓️ 20 March 2016

⏱️ 41 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

This week, The Politics Guys lead off with the state of the Republican presidential nomination contest. The math says Trump might just barely get the delegates he needs. If he doesn’t, it should make for an interesting convention. Mike and Jay look at what good John Kasich thinks he’s actually doing by staying in the … Continue reading "PG46: Kasich’s Folly, Bernie’s Future, and Garland’s Chances"Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/the-politics-guys/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Good morning. Good afternoon. Good evening, wherever you are. And welcome to the politics guys with your host, Jay Carson and Michael Baranowski.
0:17.3	Welcome to the politics guys. I'm Michael Baranowski, a political scientist at Northern Kentucky University.
0:23.5	My co-host this week, as always, is Cleveland Area Attorney and sometime Republican strategist Jay Carson.
0:30.1	Our top story this week is the March 15th, Ides of March presidential primaries, which pushed Marco Rubio out of the race, gave John Kasich
0:38.5	what's almost certainly false hope, and on the Democratic side, made up Bernie Sanders
0:43.3	nomination about as likely as a 16-seed winning the NCAA men's basketball tournament.
0:49.3	More on that later, Bernie, obviously, not the tournament.
0:52.7	We'll start by looking at the state of the
0:54.5	Republican contest, where with victories in four of the five states devoted on March 15th, Donald
0:59.8	Trump now has a commanding lead with 673 delegates to Ted Cruz's 410. With Rubio leaving the race
1:06.8	after getting smoked by Trump in Rubio's home state of Florida, that leaves John Kasich as the third
1:12.4	and final contestant for the GOP nomination, trailing Trump and crews considerably with just
1:18.4	143 delegates. Now, what this boils down to is that while Trump is the only one who can't win
1:23.9	enough delegates to capture a majority before the conventioner, while he can, sorry,
1:28.5	it's going to be a near thing.
1:29.8	Depending on which delegate math calculations you look at, he's either just barely on track to hit 1237,
1:36.0	or he should just barely miss getting the majority he needs.
1:40.5	However you look at it, with a number of big delegate states coming up late in the contest, particularly California with 172, I think it's fair to say we might be in for a really big exciting finish when you say, Jay?
1:53.2	I'd agree.
1:54.5	That was a lot of fun for this last week or so.
1:56.9	Without a doubt.
1:57.8	So what's your take of what with what happened on March 15th, at least for the Republicans, sorry.
	...

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