and Oh, welcome to another Friday roundtable here on Purple Insider, Matthew Collar, along with Sam

Ekstrom, and our guest is Ben Brown for Pro Football Focus describes himself as just betting in data so that's what you do Ben you just betting in data and any time well okay so Sam knows much more about gambling than I do but I like to read

what the gambling experts are saying because I feel like it's unique insight so that's what you do is provide a unique insight even for those of us who are afraid to bet because I get too mad if I lose any money.

So how are you?

I'm doing well. I do think you described it really well. you know kind of the appeal I would say of

sports but I didn't write somewhat of a leader in like you know football analytics

asking some of those questions as far as you know how to maximize wind probability and

stuff and I do think it's an exciting industry that's

you know kind of only beginning to take hold so I'm definitely excited about the

direction that we're headed for sure. So here's where I want to start. This whole

week we've been analyzing timelines of the Minnesota Vikings and other teams we've looked

at tanking teams there's another conversation that I've recorded that's another middling team like

the Minnesota Vikings I want you to tell me because I feel like the gambling world is the

absolute sharpest to use a gambling word when it comes to figuring out which teams are on the right timelines,

although none of you people saw Cincinnati coming last year, but I want you to tell me your process for figuring out when a team is on the right timeline, when they're going to be better than expected, when they're going to be better than expected when they're going to be worse when they're going to be middling like what the process would you use to determine a team's timeline.

Yeah, I might push back just a little bit on the Cincinnati bingles because I did.

I actually wrote them up around this time last year, plus 2,500 to at least win the AFC

North.

I didn't get them, you know, winning like the conference championship or anything like that, but they were, you know, definitely a spot. Like you said, kind of an intriguing by-low candidate before the draft, right? They had a, you know, a top-five pick, all for all intensive purposes it was kind of discussion between

Pane Sewell versus Jamar Chase and I thought if they went in the direction of Jamar Chase and kind of got that dynamic playmaker that he looked capable of doing that was going to elevate their whole office and that is kind of you know what happened right obviously a lot of big plays high chunk EPA type of plays and that worked out really well from a betting perspective.

So I definitely agree with you kind of trying to get ahead of the curve.

Some things that we definitely look for is, you know, the rookie quarterback type contract situation that allows other, you know,

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