Peak Pessimism (EP.262)
Animal Spirits Podcast
The Compound
4.7 ⢠2.1K Ratings
šļø 22 June 2022
ā±ļø 46 minutes
šļø Recording | iTunes | RSS
š§¾ļø Download transcript
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Today's animal spirits is brought to you by our friends at Y-charts. |
| 0:04.1 | Michael, last week at the Fed, press conference Jerome Powell said, |
| 0:07.8 | if you're a home buyer, a young person looking to buy a home, |
| 0:09.7 | you need a bit of a reset. |
| 0:10.7 | We need to get back to a place where supply and demand are back together |
| 0:13.3 | where inflation is down low and mortgages, mortgage rates are low again. |
| 0:16.4 | He needs a reset. |
| 0:17.5 | It's possible. |
| 0:18.3 | He said, we do our work in a way that we're housing market settles |
| 0:21.3 | in a new place and housing availability, |
| 0:22.7 | and credit availability at our appropriate levels. |
| 0:24.9 | All right, so one of my favorite tools on Y-charts, |
| 0:26.5 | you can break down economic data by category. |
| 0:29.8 | And one of them is housing, |
| 0:31.4 | and they have all these different housing charts that you can look at. |
| 0:33.9 | This one is very telling to me because it goes back to the 1960s. |
| 0:36.8 | U.S. housing starts. |
| 0:38.8 | This is basically how many new homes are started to be built in the U.S. |
| 0:42.5 | And you can see every time there's a cycle, |
| 0:44.8 | I think you call this a higher low, right? |
| 0:46.3 | Michael, if you're doing technical analysis on this? |
| 0:48.2 | No, I think you're looking at lower highs. |
... |
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