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Animal Spirits Podcast

Peak Pessimism (EP.262)

Animal Spirits Podcast

The Compound

Investing, Business News, Business, News

4.7 • 2.1K Ratings

šŸ—“ļø 22 June 2022

ā±ļø 46 minutes

šŸ§¾ļø Download transcript

Summary

On today's show we discuss how wild and crazy the past 3 years have been in the markets, why the Fed is in such a precarious position, the number of stocks getting hammered, the Warren Buffett of crypto, the most re-watchable movie of all-time and much more. Ā  Find complete shownotes on our blogs...Ā Ben Carlson’s A Wealth of Common SenseĀ Michael Batnick’s The Irrelevant InvestorĀ Like us on FacebookĀ And feel free to shoot us an email at animalspiritspod@gmail.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation.Ā  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Today's animal spirits is brought to you by our friends at Y-charts.

0:04.1

Michael, last week at the Fed, press conference Jerome Powell said,

0:07.8

if you're a home buyer, a young person looking to buy a home,

0:09.7

you need a bit of a reset.

0:10.7

We need to get back to a place where supply and demand are back together

0:13.3

where inflation is down low and mortgages, mortgage rates are low again.

0:16.4

He needs a reset.

0:17.5

It's possible.

0:18.3

He said, we do our work in a way that we're housing market settles

0:21.3

in a new place and housing availability,

0:22.7

and credit availability at our appropriate levels.

0:24.9

All right, so one of my favorite tools on Y-charts,

0:26.5

you can break down economic data by category.

0:29.8

And one of them is housing,

0:31.4

and they have all these different housing charts that you can look at.

0:33.9

This one is very telling to me because it goes back to the 1960s.

0:36.8

U.S. housing starts.

0:38.8

This is basically how many new homes are started to be built in the U.S.

0:42.5

And you can see every time there's a cycle,

0:44.8

I think you call this a higher low, right?

0:46.3

Michael, if you're doing technical analysis on this?

0:48.2

No, I think you're looking at lower highs.

...

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