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The President's Daily Brief

PDB Afternoon Bulletin | June 30th, 2026: Can Moscow Still Achieve Victory?

The President's Daily Brief

The First TV

Politics, News

4.7 • 3.2K Ratings

🗓️ 30 June 2026

⏱️ 19 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode of The PDB Afternoon Bulletin: Can Russia still win the war in Ukraine? Mike Baker examines where the conflict stands after more than four years of fighting and what victory would actually look like for Moscow. We explore Russia's military strengths and weaknesses, the state of Ukraine's defenses, and how manpower, industrial production, sanctions, and Western support are shaping the battlefield. Finally, we assess the most likely paths forward, whether either side can achieve its objectives, and what intelligence analysts are watching for as the war enters its next phase. To listen to the show ad-free, become a premium member of The President's Daily Brief by visiting https://PDBPremium.com. Please remember to subscribe if you enjoyed this episode of The President's Daily Brief. YouTube: youtube.com/@presidentsdailybrief Acre Gold: Turn your pocket change into physical 24-karat gold and enter to win a limited-edition Hot Wheels gold bar at https://GetAcreGold.com/PDB Goldbelly: Celebrate America’s 250th with iconic foods delivered—get free shipping and 20% off your first order at https://GOLDBELLY.com with code PDB. HomeServe: Protect your home systems from expensive repairs with https://HomeServe.com/dailybrief and get 50% off your first year of coverage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

When the world keeps shifting, we're there to help you act with confidence.

0:05.0

At HSBC, we bring together the people, ideas and capital that drive growth,

0:10.0

backing your ambitions at every stage.

0:13.0

So when you're preparing for the next generation,

0:15.0

strengthening your portfolio, or you're entering new markets,

0:19.0

we're there, bringing 160 years of experience to help you move forward.

0:23.6

HSBC, opening up a world of opportunity.

0:27.6

They would be just about two.

0:31.6

Ever plate the time It's Tuesday, the 30th of June.

0:44.3

Welcome to the PDB afternoon bulletin.

0:46.6

I'm Mike Baker, your eyes and ears on the world stage.

0:50.0

Now, as mentioned during this morning's PDB, here at the President's Daily Brief, we decided

0:55.3

we'll take a couple of days off from the grind of the daily news cycle to bring you a look at

1:00.1

some of the overall geopolitical issues and top-line questions that sometimes get lost in the

1:05.9

constant rush of the fast-breaking headlines. The PDB team, of course, is keeping an eye on breaking news and

1:12.1

will update as warranted, but for just two or three days, we thought we'd turn our focus to the

1:17.5

bigger picture questions to present a few special intelligence briefings, a respite, if you

1:23.4

will, from the daily news cycle. And today's question for this afternoon's bulletin is one that's

1:29.5

become increasingly difficult to answer as the war in Ukraine drags into its fifth year. And that

1:35.0

question is, well, can Russia still win? At first glance, the answer might seem somewhat obvious.

1:41.8

After all, more than four years have passed since Vladimir Putin

1:44.9

launched his full-scale invasion of Ukraine back in February of 2022. The conflict has consumed

...

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