Patrick Mahomes and a bag of bones

PlayerProfiler Fantasy Football Podcast Network

Fantasy Football Podcast from PlayerProfiler

Leisure, News, Sports, Fantasy Sports, Sports News

4.4 • 2.5K Ratings

🗓️ 22 December 2021

⏱️ 45 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

First Mover - Season 1, Episode 16 Josh Larky (@jlarkytweets), PlayerProfiler's Head of Analytics, launched a new podcast this season, and he's now looking at the Week 16 DFS slate to pinpoint the best values and upside players before anyone can catch their breath. Just how unlucky were fantasy gamers during Week 15? Josh explores historical data dating back to 2000, determining whether or not your complaints of "randomness" and "chaos" are justified. Underdog Fantasy has 2 (!!) new best ball playoff tournaments at the perfect price points for anyone ($5 entry or $25 entry). How to explain the value of analytics in football to someone who is highly skeptical. Matthew Stafford and 2 other QBs are simply mis-priced. All the QBs Josh plans to stack for Week 16 DFS. The $4,900 WR who *ruined* the slate. Patrick Mahomes could be in HUGE trouble in Week 16. Getting great value on Odell Beckham, again. The search for our Winter/Spring analytics intern begins NOW. Be on the lookout for our upcoming job posting to work alongside Josh and the team. General players Josh is targeting on DraftKings/FanDuel for Week 16. All the Week 16 game environments Josh will be targeting. Play the Over/Under Pick 'Em games on the Underdog Fantasy app NOW: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-rotounderwold, Code UNDERWORLD gets new users a $100 (!!!) deposit match Interested in learning to code in R, the exact coding language Josh uses for his analytics work? Go to ThatRCodingSite.com to learn R from Josh, and he'll teach you using football datasets to make it fun and engaging. He's used R in previous non-football jobs too, working for the San Diego Padres' business analytics department, the Detroit Tigers' baseball analytics department, and a multi-month HR analysis project for Southwest Airlines. R is a free and open source stats coding language, and you can easily learn it in 2-3 months. ThatRCodingSite.com if you're interested, promo code: firstmover to get 10% off Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	.
0:24.0	Welcome to first mover presented by Underdog Fantasy.
0:34.4	I'm Josh Larkey, the director of analytics at playerprofiler.com and VOTE1DWD and you
0:40.6	can find me on Twitter at JLARKEY Tweetz.
0:44.6	JLARKEY Tweetz.
0:45.6	I'm also on TikTok, not very big on TikTok yet, but we are growing slowly.
0:51.7	We're trying at JLARKEY Tiktoks.
0:55.1	Now I got a question in the chat on StreamYard since we're live right now.
1:01.4	And it was just about like how do we explain concepts that are kind of complicated statistically
1:06.9	to people that might not either be as interested in stats or have as much just stats background
1:13.5	knowledge.
1:14.5	And I had it Twitter post earlier today, currently recording an hour and a half before the
1:19.5	two Tuesday night football games kick off.
1:21.9	And this Twitter post was basically just a lot of people out there are dunking on the
1:26.2	analytics community like, you thought you were going to go for it on fourth and goal?
1:32.3	It's the backup quarterback.
1:34.5	Oh, fail two point conversion.
1:39.7	So I think that a good metaphor that I use was the peanut butter and jelly sandwich.
1:45.2	And I would say that someone gives you someone puts a magic peanut butter into a peanut butter
1:49.6	and jelly sandwich and they say, Hey, if you eat this peanut butter, a peanut butter
1:53.4	and jelly sandwich before every NFL game, your team is going to win 60% of the time.
2:00.5	And if you do not choose to eat this peanut butter and jelly sandwich with magic in it,
	...

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