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The Meaningful Money Personal Finance Podcast

Past performance is no guide to future performance

The Meaningful Money Personal Finance Podcast

Pete Matthew

Education, Business, Investing

4.91.7K Ratings

🗓️ 4 May 2018

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Listener Martin asked about the caveat that you see on every piece of literature to do with investments - Past performance is no guide to future performance. Is that really true?

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Let's do that again, but without the emails on the screen behind me.

0:03.0

Hi folks, and welcome to another five minute Friday here on Meaningful Money.

0:07.0

Great to see you once again or your lovely smiling faces. This is what you call a quick

0:16.2

and dirty video because it's already five past five on Thursday afternoon. I gotta shoot

0:21.0

something to edit it tonight to get it up on the website for

0:24.8

five minute Friday otherwise you know it's five minute Saturday and that doesn't

0:28.3

sound anything like as good so you know I'm slightly sweaty the is rubbish, it's probably bouncing all over the place.

0:35.0

I have no idea really whether I'm in focus, but you know what?

0:38.0

It's the content that matters.

0:40.0

So let's crack on.

0:41.0

I've had a question for Martin, asks about past performance being no guide to future performance.

0:46.5

You know that caveat that's on everything you always see if every you're looking at a possible fun to invest in past performance is no guide or not necessarily a guide to future performance.

0:56.5

Why is that even there? Martin asked that question and so let's put five minutes on the clock down here,

1:02.3

round about there, something like that,

1:04.1

and let me try and answer Martin's question.

1:06.9

Okay, so past performance is no guide to future performance.

1:10.5

Now you know why they put that there, right? they put it there so that they can't be sued in the future by somebody saying well I bought this fund on the strength of the performance that you have quoted, you have not delivered that performance, therefore I have been

1:25.6

missold or whatever. So it's a caveat. You understand why it's there, it's there for the fund

1:30.8

providers, the investment providers to protect themselves.

1:34.0

But anybody with any brain can understand that surely past performance must be some guide to future performance.

1:44.0

So let's try and unpack that a little bit.

1:46.0

Firstly, if you think about what investment performance is,

...

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