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The Libertarian

Pardon Me? Predictions (and Warnings) for a Second Trump Term | Libertarian: Richard Epstein | Hoover Institution

The Libertarian

The Civitas Institute at the University of Texas at Austin

History, News, Politics

4.7994 Ratings

🗓️ 7 November 2024

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

An issue-by-issue look at where Trump’s next term is trending.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome back to the Libertarian podcast from the Hoover Institution.

0:16.1

I'm your host, Tom Church, and I'm joined as always by the libertarian Professor Richard Epstein.

0:22.2

Richard is the Peter and Kirsten Bedford Senior Fellow here at the Hoover Institution.

0:26.9

He's a Lawrence A. Tisch Professor of Law at NYU and is a senior lecturer at the University of Chicago.

0:32.9

Richard, the year is 2016. Donald Trump has won the presidency. Actually, scratch that. The year is 2024. Donald Trump has won the presidency. Actually scratch that. The year is

0:37.6

2024. Donald Trump has won re-election to the presidency for a non-consecutive term.

0:44.2

The first time that's happened since Grover Cleveland did it in the late 19th century. So, Richard,

0:49.0

how does deja vu feel to you? Well, I mean, it's a very different kind of victory. The first time around, it was a

0:56.0

nail-biter, and you had all sorts of arguments about the fact that he lost a popular vote. The

1:01.1

Electoral College is illegitimate and so forth. Hillary Clinton was saying is all kinds of ways

1:06.8

that it was all very illegitimate and so forth. He himself, I think, managed to bring a huge

1:12.2

amount of abuse about him because he would say all sorts of stupid and racist kinds of thing.

1:17.6

And it was the sort of thing in which people were genuinely crazy.

1:20.6

Though this time, well, think of the same issue. The electoral college, it's pretty clear that he's

1:25.7

one of very commanding majority.

1:31.4

My guess is it would be well over 300 votes by the time this thing is done.

1:37.8

In terms of popular vote, he's comfortably over the 50% mark, which gets rid of that particular element of stuff.

1:45.5

And the most important thing about the psychology of it is the guy, despite at the last moment the sense of human, which I think is absolutely decisive, given the bitterness of the attack against him. This was a man who got on top

1:51.0

of a garbage heat. This is a man who was flipping flap jacks at McDonald's or whatever

1:54.8

it was he was doing. And that's the side of Trump, which nobody knew. And what's so important

1:59.9

about is when you have a guy who has such an incredible record, it's so clear that the preconceptions are so strong, you don't think you could switch to them at all. But I think, in effect, those two maneuvers actually did save the day for him. I wish it had been on something having to do with foreign or domestic policy and so forth.

2:21.4

But what happened is the Democrats made, in my view, a terrible mistake.

...

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