Packernet Podcast: Packers vs Super Bowl Winners - A Statistical Comparison
Packernet Podcast: Daily Green Bay Packers Podcast
AC Sports
4.7 • 524 Ratings
🗓️ 31 December 2025
⏱️ 40 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Has any team ever lost four straight games and still made a Super Bowl run? With the Packers currently spiraling, we're diving deep into the historical data to find out exactly what we're dealing with.
In this episode, we break down every team since 1999 that limped into the playoffs on a losing streak—from the 1999 Lions to the 2024 Steelers—and track their EPA and DVOA trends against where Green Bay sits right now. The results? Surprisingly hopeful. While most comparable teams went one-and-done, the Packers' final DVOA of 13.1 is actually HIGHER than all of them, and their regression pattern eerily mirrors the 2010 Super Bowl champions.
We also shut down the Trevon Diggs fantasy with cold, hard PFF data—the Cowboys released him mid-week for a reason, and no, he's not better than what we have. Plus quick hits on Micah Parsons' successful ACL surgery and Zeke Elliott quietly filing retirement papers.
The defense has tanked at minus-110 EPA per week while the offense holds steady. It's not impossible. It's just unlikely. And here's exactly how unlikely.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Ladies and gentlemen, welcome once again to the Packernet podcast. |
| 0:13.1 | I am your host and resident panelist. |
| 0:15.2 | As always, Ryan Schlipp, check us out online, packernet.com. |
| 0:19.8 | Find me on Twitter, packet.com. Find me on Twitter pack underscore datab. |
| 0:24.4 | Well, today we're going to, as I've been talking about, we're going to lay off the |
| 0:30.0 | 2026 and beyond existential crisis type of conversation because it's still 2025 and we still have football |
| 0:42.1 | to play. One of the things that I have done, I think, every year since I've been doing the |
| 0:47.8 | podcast that I kind of enjoy, although I think this year might be a touch different, is, I don't know what you'd call it. |
| 0:55.9 | I guess it's something to the effect of what teams look like us and went on to have success in the |
| 1:05.6 | playoffs. |
| 1:06.3 | It's kind of two questions. |
| 1:07.5 | Which Super Bowl team do we most resemble? |
| 1:10.3 | And also, which playoff team |
| 1:13.6 | generally do we most resemble? And kind of how did that go? Obviously, you get a much more |
| 1:17.8 | accurate sample generally when you do that. But I think the slight twist is that this year is, |
| 1:26.2 | or at least seems worse than a lot of others. |
| 1:29.3 | And so it's maybe a little bit less of which Super Bowl team do we look like. |
| 1:38.3 | And more of, has there ever been a team that's, first of all, what are we, get our bearings first, |
| 1:48.0 | and then from there, has anything looked like this, and how did that go? |
| 1:53.7 | I'm sure there has been. |
| 1:54.7 | I mean, there's been teams that have completely, I mean, just, I've talked about many times |
| 1:59.1 | several years ago with the Eagles, the year before they |
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