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Today in Focus

Oscars 2026: who should win … and who actually will? – The Latest

Today in Focus

The Guardian

News, Daily News

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 13 March 2026

⏱️ 12 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

After months of red carpets and awards season campaigns, it’s all eyes on Hollywood’s night of nights - the Academy Awards. It looks like it will be a fight between Ryan Coogler’s thriller Sinners and Paul Thomas Anderson’s adaptation One Battle After Another for most of the big prizes, with Jessie Buckley’s performance in Hamnet the clear favourite for best actress. Lucy Hough speaks to the Guardian’s film editor, Catherine Shoard watch on YouTube. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/infocus

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is The Guardian.

0:11.1

Everything leading up to the Oscars is an audition for the Oscars.

0:14.9

It's now a sort of tipping point.

0:16.6

It's very rare that the best film will win.

0:18.6

But I think this campaign perhaps does show the sort of real genuine risks of gaffes.

0:24.5

And I don't want to be working in ballet or opera or, you know, things where it's like,

0:28.7

hey, keep this thing alive even though no one cares about this anymore.

0:32.4

He's so marmite as a person.

0:34.4

Had the opera thing come out a couple of days earlier, it absolutely would have

0:38.5

totaled distances. With something like sinners, I think to not give him best director would be

0:43.1

terrible. Remember, no black person has ever won best director. The Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles

0:49.3

is rolling out the red carpet again for this year's Oscar's ceremony on Sunday. So who should win and why?

0:56.0

From The Guardians today in focus, this is the latest with me, Lucy Hart.

1:02.0

I'm joined by Catherine Shored, the Guardian's film editor. It's great to see you, Catherine. Thanks for coming up.

1:07.0

So we are at the end of what has felt like quite a long Oscars campaign trail. It feels

1:13.1

like it's a real face-off between two films at this point, doesn't it? Sinners and one

1:18.2

battle after another. How would you describe the dynamics of the race at this point? Yeah,

1:22.7

it's got very exciting just in the final reel, just as the final crunch has happened.

1:48.0

And there's a number of reasons for that. One of them is that the, there's a new rule that if you're an Oscar voter this year, you have to prove that you've actually seen the films that you're going to be voting. You wouldn't think you'd do that. Was that not normally the case? You know what people are like, dreadful. So, but you can't literally, can't physically sort of click it, click that one, until you've sort of shown that you've watched the others.

1:49.6

So that means a huge flurry of late votes, which makes the last of three weeks very, very

1:55.2

important.

1:55.9

So Oscar voting closed, I think, a week yesterday.

...

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