39 days remain until the Democratic National Convention convenes in Chicago.

It is July the 11th, 2024.

This is the warning.

Today, Tim Alberta published a long profile of the Trump campaign chieftains,

Susie Wiles, and Chris Lasavita. The story is yet another

epic profile by Tim Alberta, and it captures perfectly this moment. I'm going to read some

parts from it. Only one thing could disrupt that plan. A change of candidates atop the Democratic ticket. There was always

a certain danger inherent to this assault on Biden's faculties. If Wiles and Lhavita were too

successful, if too many Democrats decided too quickly that Biden was no longer capable of defeating Trump, much less

serving another four years thereafter, than they risked losing an ideal opponent against whom

their every tactical maneuver had already been deliberated, poll tested, and prepared.

Campaigns are usually on guard against peaking too soon.

In this case, the risk for Trump's team was Biden, bottoming out too early. Let's flash up what the

election result was in 2020. These are the states that voted for Donald Trump.

These are the states that voted for President Biden. This was the final result. Joe Biden winning by 44,000 votes across these three states. That's it. A Razors Edge. Game of very, very small

numbers. Now, let's look at the race in 2024. Let's project all of the states

that Donald Trump is certain to win. Let's accumulate and add up those electoral votes.

Now let's add up the states that Joe Biden is absolutely going to win.

Now let's add up the electoral votes. Now let's take those states off of the map and let's just

look at the states that are in play that decide the outcome. This is how the race looks. This is where Donald Trump

stands in 2024. This is how the map would look on election night if the election were

tonight. Trump would win and he would win decisively. And so here we sit, 39 days from the Democratic

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