On the Media: September 16, 2011

On the Media

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4.6 • 9.1K Ratings

🗓️ 16 September 2011

⏱️ 50 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

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Transcript

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0:00.0	From WNYC in New York, this is On the Media.
0:05.5	Brooke Gladstone is away this week.
0:07.8	I'm Bob Garfield.
0:09.4	On Tuesday, Republican Bob Turner defeated Democrat David Weprin to take control of New York's
0:15.4	9th congressional district.
0:17.2	The seat vacated by Anthony Wiener after a spring scandal.
0:21.9	This was widely reported in the press as a possible bellwether for 2012,
0:27.8	a sign that voter frustration with President Obama had trickled down even into New York politics.
0:34.4	A stunning upset seen as a wake-up call for the White House.
0:37.9	In a district where Republicans are outnumbered three to one. It's shocking. It seems like the whole world just tilting on its head right now.
0:45.0	It is seen as a stinging rejection of President Obama and his policies.
0:49.2	But was this a bellwether or was it another phenomenon altogether, an example of the media taking a
0:55.8	single data point and turning it into a narrative?
0:59.5	Political stat guru Nate Silver wrote about this for the New York Times.
1:04.0	Nate, welcome back to OTM.
1:05.6	Yeah, thank you.
1:06.7	So one possibility is that the loss of this hitherto fairly safe Democratic seat to a Republican
1:13.2	does presage nationwide rebuke of the Democrats and of the Obama administration in the fall.
1:19.5	Can we begin by exploring why that actually may be the case?
1:23.8	There were actually two special elections on Tuesday night, one in New York and the other in Nevada.
1:30.4	The Democrats lost both, and the one in Nevada, they probably weren't favored to win, but they lost it by
1:34.8	22 points in district that Barack Obama had come very close to winning in 2008. So you can make
	...

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