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On The Tape

Okay, Computer: Tech Is Still A Minefield with Dan Niles

On The Tape

RiskReversal Media

News, Business, Investing, Business News

4.6757 Ratings

🗓️ 16 August 2023

⏱️ 51 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On this episode, Dan is joined by Dan Niles of the Satori Fund to discuss his call for a 10% decline in the stock market (2:00), high-valuation & mega-cap tech (8:30), China’s impact on commodities (13:00), interest rates (20:30), Apple/Microsoft (24:30), Nvidia (35:00), and Tesla (41:30). Listen to our last episode with Dan Niles --- View our show notes here Learn more about Ro body: ro.co/okay Email us at [email protected] with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OkayComputerPod. We’re on social: Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Subscribe to our YouTube page

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to OK Computer. I'm Dan Nathan. I am joined by Dan Niles. He's the founder and portfolio

0:06.4

manager of Soturi Funds. Dan, welcome back to the pod. It's my pleasure as always. So Dan,

0:12.0

you and I had a great conversation in the start of May. We were taking stock of Q1 tech earnings.

0:19.4

We were also just getting a feel for the post-regional banking crisis

0:23.4

world that we're all living in at the time. I think there was probably a fairly decent

0:29.0

consensus that some of the palpitations that were caused by the banking crisis were not

0:33.9

going to be like going away anytime soon, but we're also in a period where we're

0:39.0

starting to see the increased liquidity that came into the economy, found its way into the markets,

0:44.8

and then found its way into a secular theme, one that you have been focused on, I'm sure,

0:50.4

for years and years, but for some reason, equity market participants got really excited about

0:56.3

in 2023 because of chat GPT4, and that obviously would be AI. So you and I had a great conversation.

1:03.4

I remember we titled that Tech is a minefield. That was a quote from you, and we're going to get,

1:09.0

we're going to get to some of the specifics. But let's talk about the

1:12.2

macro right now, because it really feels to get, I guess, the single stock stuff right, some of

1:17.7

the secular shifts right. It's becoming more important this moment right here, right now,

1:23.4

where rates are the pace in which they've risen, some of the headwinds that we see to growth here,

1:29.4

but also maybe more importantly abroad,

1:31.9

this is a period of time that I think you've got to have a good sense for the top down.

1:37.1

Give me a sense about how you're thinking about the macro,

1:39.8

and do you agree with that statement that I just made?

1:42.0

Yeah, I 100% agree with that

1:43.9

because the way I think you have to frame this and this is how

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