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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Oil Investing Enters "The Age of Restraint"

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 27 April 2018

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The oil and natural gas investment cycle is entering an "age of restraint," according to a newly-published report from Goldman Sachs Research. In this episode, we sit down with Michele Della Vigna, Commodity Equity business unit leader in EMEA, to understand what this means for the sector. "The period of restraint is a period where fear around long-term demand distraction from decarbonization and electric vehicles is forcing the industry to really rationalize its capital investment," Della Vigna says. This podcast was recorded on April 16, 2018. All price references and market forecasts correspond to the date of this recording. This podcast should not be copied, distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part. The information contained in this podcast does not constitute research or a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to the listener. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates makes any representation or warranty, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or any information contained in this podcast and any liability therefor (including in respect of direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage) is expressly disclaimed. The views expressed in this podcast are not necessarily those of Goldman Sachs, and Goldman Sachs is not providing any financial, economic, legal, accounting or tax advice or recommendations in this podcast. In addition, the receipt of this podcast by any listener is not to be taken as constituting the giving of investment advice by Goldman Sachs to that listener, nor to constitute such person a client of any Goldman Sachs entity. Copyright 2018 Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC. All rights reserved.

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is Exchanges of Goldman Sachs, where we discuss developments currently shaping markets, industries, and the global

0:14.0

economy. I'm Jake Seaward, Globalhead of Corporate Communications here at the firm.

0:18.6

Every year, Goldman Sachs research puts out a report on the state of the oil and natural

0:22.4

gas industry.

0:23.8

This year's report is out, and it details how big oil

0:27.1

has entered into, quote, an age of restraint.

0:30.2

To talk through what that means,

0:31.6

we're joined by Michaela Delavina,

0:33.6

Commodity Equity Business Unit Leader in Amia.

0:37.0

Michaela is based in London, but is on a business trip here in New York.

0:40.0

Michaela, welcome to the program.

0:42.0

Thank you.

0:42.9

So you're just out with this year's top projects report,

0:45.6

which analyzes the health of big oil companies every year.

0:48.7

You talk about the industry entering

0:50.6

a period of restraint within the investment cycle.

0:53.6

What do you mean by that?

0:55.0

The period of restraint is a period where fear around long-term demand destruction

1:01.6

from decarbonization and electric vehicles is forcing the industry

1:05.8

to really rationalize its capital investment.

1:09.2

It's also a time when funding becomes less available for long cycle new developments and the natural

1:15.6

resource is a business with higher barriers to entry and with fewer players in a more

...

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