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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

October 5th - NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 5 October 2021

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion for October 5th, 2021. 

 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Good morning, everyone. The Simple Handicap for Tuesday, October 5th. Thank you for making me a part of your morning. NFL week number four is in the rearview mirror. NFL week five now on the horizon, just two days away from the Rams kicking things off on the road at Seattle.

0:19.2

Before we get into the games in the market rundown for Tuesday morning,

0:22.9

just wanted to send out a reminder that the bet thread for Week 5 is up on the Twitter

0:27.7

account as it has been each week this season.

0:31.3

And as it will be, every week of the season going forward until we get to the Super Bowl

0:35.9

in February.

0:36.8

So if you're not already following that thread on a weekly basis, you can do so by going

0:41.8

over to Twitter results.

0:44.0

Yeah, they've been pretty good so far, but we're focused now on week number five, which

0:48.5

quite frankly, is turning into a giant week of almost and maybes, at least from the look of it right now,

0:58.5

and then just a handful of games that I just have no idea on.

1:02.6

And there's no better case than that that the Rams on the road at Seattle.

1:06.4

Like yesterday I was dead wrong.

1:08.7

And I did the box score recap.

1:13.0

I didn't watch the Seahawks and 49ers, but I was looking into it.

1:17.6

And I was talking about how misleading it was.

1:19.9

And clearly I misunderstood how misleading it actually was because I was very much looking at this as a game yesterday,

1:26.7

which I expected to go the other way when it reopened at Rams minus 1, and couldn't have missed that line movement more. And this is up to Rams minus 2, minus 1.15 at Ben Online, 2.5 at Heritage, 2 flat at pinnacle, everywhere else on the board, except for the major U.S. domestic books, Draft Kings Van Duel, etc.

1:44.4

All of those two and a half matching their price, circa in Las Vegas, one and a half.

1:48.5

So there's a bit of a significant difference between the two, but not a huge variance in terms of price overall.

1:55.4

Total was 53.

1:56.9

It's now up to 54 and a half and trending higher.

...

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