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On the Media

October 24, 2008

On the Media

WNYC Studios

News, Radio, Amendment, Transparency, History, Micah_loewinger, Technology, Advertising, Politics, Society & Culture, Magazine, Journalism, Tv, Wnyc, Newspaper, Brooke_gladstone, Studios, Npr, Newspapers, Media

4.69.1K Ratings

🗓️ 5 May 2011

⏱️ 50 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Transcript

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0:00.0

From WNYC in New York, this is NPR's On the Media. I'm Brooke Gladstone. And I'm Bob Garfield. Right now,

0:08.6

we're bracing ourselves for another exit poll debacle. It's been a terrible decade for exit pollsters.

0:16.0

In 2000, shame reigned down on the now-defunct voter news service when it called Florida for Gore.

0:23.3

In 2004, leaked poll data showed Kerry surging until he lost.

0:28.8

This year, the exit poll data will come from the national election pool,

0:32.7

a consortium of the five major networks and the Associated Press,

0:36.6

each of which will have people sequestered with the incoming information.

0:40.8

Joe Lensky is one of the founders of Edison Media Research, which, along with Motovsky research, will conduct the polls.

0:48.4

Lensky says they figured out how to cure the two biggest problems plaguing exit polls.

0:53.1

One, the overcounting of Democratic voters,

0:56.0

because young Democrats are more responsive to the usually young exit pollsters,

1:00.6

and two, all those awful leaks.

1:04.3

The first thing we did, starting in 2006,

1:07.1

the news organizations established what they call a quarantine room,

1:11.7

and that means there are three representatives from each of the six news organizations in that room, and they

1:16.2

are the only people allowed to review the Exipole data before 5 p.m. Those people give up any ability

1:23.8

to communicate to the outside world, so their cell phones, their Black their Blackberries any other communication devices are confiscated and their jobs are

1:32.1

to review the data before it's released to the rest of the news organization at 5

1:36.7

p.m. That has helped both in 2006 and the 2008 primaries to keep a handle on the

1:43.1

distribution of the Exip poll data until much closer

1:46.0

to poll closing time.

1:48.0

And the overrepresentation of Democrats' problem?

...

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