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City Journal Audio

NYC Mayoral Primary: What the Data and Debates Reveal

City Journal Audio

Manhattan Institute

Politics, News Commentary, News

4.8615 Ratings

🗓️ 23 June 2025

⏱️ 46 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

What’s driving the New York City mayoral race, and how might ranked-choice voting, crime, and policy backlash shape the outcome?

In this episode, City Journal’s Charles Fain Lehman is joined by John Ketcham, Renu Mukherjee, and Jesse Arm to break down the latest from the NYC mayoral primary. They also weigh in on the Supreme Court’s ruling in U.S. v. Skrmetti, what it means for free speech and state regulation, and how New Yorkers are navigating the heat and headlines.

“Exhausted ballots will be a significant factor in this election,” notes Ketcham.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome back to the City Journal podcast.

0:12.1

I'm your host, Charles Fame Lehman, a fellow at the Manhattan Institute and

0:15.2

contributing editor of City Journal reporting to you live from a slightly different location,

0:19.4

but I promised with all the same fun content.

0:22.9

Joining me on the panel today are John Ketchum, my go-to resource for Italian food in Queens.

0:29.0

Rina Mukagi, my go-to resource for Indian food in the greater DMV area.

0:32.9

She's on the hunt.

0:34.0

And Jesse Arm, who will someday tell me if there's a single good kosher restaurant in D.C., I'm not holding my breath.

0:41.3

Thanks, everyone, for joining us. I want to take us right into the news of the day.

0:46.9

Signature podcast listeners, I'm sure, are aware already that tomorrow is New York City Democratic mayor or primary, technically also the Republican

0:55.5

primary, but I'm not holding my breath on that one.

0:59.1

I think we know how it's going to shake out.

1:02.2

And just this morning, we had a shocking poll from Emerson, which shows that at the end

1:08.3

of ranked choice voting in their estimate, Zerun Mamaldani is leading and wins 52 to 48 against Andrew Cuomo.

1:16.3

So, Jesse, I'm going to start with you.

1:19.3

What do you make in the new poll?

1:20.4

What's the shape of the race?

1:21.5

The prediction markets are going crazy.

1:23.9

Could Montani pull it out?

1:27.0

Yeah.

1:27.6

Well, look, primary day is finally here, and New York's Democratic contest for mayor is kind of turning into a national stress test of whether a hollowed-out political center can still fend off the loudest and most menacing ideological fringes.

1:46.4

So we had our Manhattan Institute poll.

...

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