Nvidia's big China question
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 28 August 2025
⏱️ 6 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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Show Notes
Snowflake rallies as AI boosts revenue
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Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Breakfast, where we cover the top news for investors |
| 0:09.0 | every morning. Good morning. Today is Thursday, August 28th, and I'm your host, Kim Khan, filling in for |
| 0:14.9 | Julie Morgan. Invita remains under pressure in pre-market trading today as questions about its China |
| 0:20.2 | sales, overshadowed consensus-beating Q2 numbers on the top and bottom lines and a $60 billion share |
| 0:26.1 | buyback. After the Bell Wednesday, the chip company reported EPS of 105, topping the consensus |
| 0:32.3 | of $1.7.7 billion. Revenue of $46.74 billion came in $610 million above expectations. |
| 0:39.9 | But while data center revenue jumped 56% from the year ago period, the $41.1 billion reported was a tad below the $41.29 billion estimate. |
| 0:49.0 | The company said it did not have any H20 sales to China-based customers in the second quarter, |
| 0:54.0 | but it did benefit from $180 million release of previously reserved H20 sales to China-based customers in the second quarter, but it did benefit from |
| 0:55.1 | $180 million release of previously reserved H-20 inventory from approximately $650 million in |
| 1:01.0 | unrestricted H-20 sales to a customer outside China. Looking at the third quarter of fiscal |
| 1:06.4 | 2026, Invidia expects to generate $54 billion in revenue plus or minus 2%. |
| 1:12.0 | But crucially, this guidance does not include any H20-related revenue to China. |
| 1:16.9 | Analysts were forecasting $53.46 billion in revenue with estimates up to $60 billion. |
| 1:22.8 | Seeking Alpha analyst Jack Bowman says, one thing to watch is future sales to China, which |
| 1:27.3 | Nvidia is estimating it zero currently. |
| 1:29.9 | If their sales to China are able to surprise next quarter, that could be a huge catalyst |
| 1:33.7 | moving forward. |
| 1:35.2 | SA analyst Agar Capital notes, the company has posted record revenues and given strong guidance |
| 1:40.0 | for the next quarter without a single sale in China. |
| 1:43.0 | If this is the baseline, even a partial return of the Chinese market, |
| 1:46.1 | despite the 15% export fee, would represent a significant upside. |
... |
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