Numbers Game: Do the polls give Sunak’s Tories any hope?

The Bunker

Podmasters

News, Politics, Society & Culture, Government

4.6 • 984 Ratings

🗓️ 23 August 2023

⏱️ 25 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

If you look at the data, this government has been dreadful. But take a closer look and there’s still a chance they might turn the polls on its head. Thankfully, that chance is tiny, but it’s still a chance nonetheless. Ben Walker is a journalist for the New Statesman and has analysed the numbers to work out the reality of a Tory turnaround. He joins Marie Le Conte in The Bunker. “There’s been elections worse than this and parties have recovered.” – Ben Walker. “The data doesn’t take into account the sentiment of the nation.” – Ben Walker. “If you look at history it’s probably 1 in 4… lower than Biden vs Trump.” – Ben Walker. “Is now the time for Labour to start pulling out its policies? Because it still has credibility issues.” – Ben Walker. “The best thing I think the Conservatives can do is lose the election now, so they can recover quicker.” – Ben Walker. www.patreon.com/bunkercast Written and presented by Marie Le Conte. Producer: Chris Jones. Audio production: Simon Williams. Managing Editor: Jacob Jarvis. Group Editor: Andrew Harrison Music by Kenny Dickinson. THE BUNKER is a Podmasters Production. Instagram | Twitter Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:05.5	photography but I turn it into earning a living at 60. I enrolled on a day course.
0:11.8	Well college. I loved going to college. It's good you can retry. I'm enrolled on the day course. But college?
0:13.0	I loved going to college.
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0:55.9	theirs with dental life. Pick up dental life in the pet food aisle. Hello, my name is Marie Lacond. Welcome to the bunker. Can the Conservatives win the next
1:16.1	election? Even though Riesche Sunak isn't expected to call it anytime soon, it
1:20.0	already seems to be a don't deal. Labor is high up in the polls, and the government has the aura of a supply teacher has just
1:25.9	given up.
1:26.9	Still, could it recover?
1:28.9	Worthy things have happened in British politics.
1:31.6	Here with me today to look at the numbers is Ben Walker, senior
1:34.4	data journalist of the new statesman and co-founder of Britain elects. Hi Ben.
1:38.1	Hello, thank you for having me. Thanks for going. So on August 11th he wrote a piece title, the polling data that shows the
1:44.8	Tories could recover. On August 15th, he wrote one titled, the Tories are showing how to lose
	...

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