Hey, this is Nick and I'm at the Wehrmiddell School in Wehrm, New Hampshire, or I just voted in the New Hampshire primary.

This podcast was recorded that 159 Eastern on Wednesday, September 12th.

Things may have changed since it was recorded. Okay, here's the show.

Hey there, it's the NPR politics podcast NPR is out with a new poll a lot of information about the midterms

And we're gonna tell you about it. I'm Scott Tetrull, I cover Congress.

I'm Danielle Kurtz, Laban Political Reporter, and I'm Dominican Montenegro Political Editor.

Let's talk polls.

The Minico NPR and Marist have a new poll that came out today and the story you wrote about it is

beginning a lot of buzz on the internet.

One of the big headlines from our poll was the fact that the so-called congressional ballot,

who people would prefer to see controlling Congress, has now started to balloon in favor of Democrats.

So you had 50% of people saying that they would vote for the Democrat in their district,

only 38% saying that they would vote for the Republican in their district.

That's 12 points, right? That's up from seven in July when we last asked the question.

And that's a long way to get to the really big headline, which is almost all of this is moving from people in the Midwest.

There was a 13 point swing from July to now in favor of Democrats with voters in the Midwest.

And of course that is a part of the country that was key to President Trump's big win in 2016.

It's a part of the country he goes to frequently and that he sees as kind of like the cultural key to his presidency.

That sounds pretty significant if there's a big drop there.

Also an area of the country that Trump's policies may be heavily impacting.

For example, tariffs.

Who lives in the Midwest? A whole bunch of farmers.

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