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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

November 5th - NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 5 November 2021

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion for November 5th, 2021

 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Good morning, everyone.

0:03.2

The Simple Handicap for Friday, November 5th.

0:05.8

Thank you for making me a part of your morning.

0:08.1

And it was a good way to get week number nine started with a win on a prop.

0:12.4

Michael Carter over 27.5 receiving yards.

0:16.5

Anyone who played it later at alternate numbers was also able to get through to the window.

0:21.9

Probably not going to see that low of a total for Carter ever open up again sort of sub-30 with any of these backup quarterbacks.

0:30.3

Now, maybe that changes.

0:31.7

We don't know the status of White or Johnson, who's going to be the starter.

0:34.9

When Wilson comes back, we'll see.

0:36.2

But with that offense, how it was, we're going to get that starter. When Wilson comes back, we'll see. But with that offense,

0:38.3

how it was, we're going to get that number. I believe it was 10.5 on Sunday was the initial

0:44.3

opener and it got bet up to like 20. And then it reopened this week, 27 and a half and got

0:49.2

bet up. But that is life in the NFL prop market. Things get adjusted very, very quickly.

0:56.2

Moving on to Sunday, quick market run now to get you on your way this Friday.

0:59.8

Houston on the road at the Miami Dolphins was talking about this game with LVC,

1:06.5

Las Vegas, Chris, and he's listing and he knows I was going to mention him because we're

1:10.3

having a discussion about how the divide between the best teams in the league and the worst teams in the league

1:17.1

is as big as we can remember it, and it's only getting bigger and bigger. And it shows within my

1:23.5

ratings, too, did I do each week on covers. I have two teams at the bottom of the league with a

1:29.3

10 rating. Typically, for those of you to know, I do my ratings from a zero to 100 scale,

1:35.5

and that scale represents a point spread. It's a very easy way to make your own power ratings.

...

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