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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

November 29th - NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 29 November 2021

⏱️ 27 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion for November 29th, 2021

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Good morning, everyone, the simple handicap for Monday, November 29th.

0:06.4

Thank you for making me a part of your morning.

0:09.0

It is Sunday evening, 6.15 p.m. Mountain Standard Time.

0:12.8

The late game is just kicking off as I hit record.

0:16.0

As always, looking at the opening lines, giving my reaction to all of the prices as they come out.

0:21.6

And for the first time in a couple of weeks, there's a few bets here on the podcast to give out with some of these openers as they have hit the board.

0:28.4

We'll get things started. Dallas on the road at the New Orleans Saints.

0:32.2

Right now as I look across the screen, I see five and a halfs and fives.

0:36.1

The only place that has gone to six is bet online.

0:39.3

They were the first to post. They had five and a half up initially. They've gone to six. Pinnacle is five flat,

0:47.0

shaded heavily towards five and a half for six at minus 19. Westgate in Las Vegas, the first books

0:52.9

to open were five and a half adjusted up from the five.

0:56.9

My reasoning here was pretty simplistic. I looked at where that game closed last week for Buffalo,

1:02.6

which was right at seven. I'm seeing Dallas at five. The gap that I have between Dallas and Buffalo

1:08.9

on a neutral is half a point.

1:11.4

My ratings each week are posted on Covers.com.

1:14.5

So for the people who are online saying you're winging it.

1:17.5

And boy, there is one guy that just, I feel bad for him and I feel bad for his family

1:22.6

because the time that he wastes on Twitter yelling into space is just, it's heartbreaking in many ways to see.

1:30.3

And there was a back and forth. And so I explained that. But that's where I post my numbers

1:34.4

each and every week for people to see. If you want to go over tocovers.com, click on the link and you

1:39.8

can see those numbers. So that's where that's coming from. But I also look at this as a situation

...

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