November 18th - NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 18 November 2021
⏱️ 16 minutes
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Summary
NFL Odds, Picks and Market Discussion for November 18th, 2021
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everyone, the Simple Handicap for Thursday, November 18th. |
| 0:06.2 | Thank you for making me a part of your morning, getting you on your way today with |
| 0:10.4 | a market rundown NFL Week 11, a quick traditional episode of the Simple Handicap. |
| 0:15.8 | Things get rolling tonight. |
| 0:17.8 | New England Patriots on the road at the Atlanta Falcons. |
| 0:20.9 | Only one seven is left on the border. |
| 0:24.2 | That's at Circus Sports in Las Vegas, minus seven, even money. |
| 0:27.4 | Otherwise, everyone else down to six and a half shaded back towards the seven. |
| 0:31.3 | Total 47 shaded back towards 46. |
| 0:33.8 | This one's really simple. |
| 0:35.7 | Releases from groups and influential betters on New England at six and six and a half. |
| 0:41.7 | And then a bunch of value bets coming back the other way in Atlanta at seven. |
| 0:46.0 | That's case and point of the game. There was the adjustment up initially from the look ahead to the reopen. |
| 0:52.0 | Then it was New England money. Now it's Atlanta money back the other way. The only thing we're really going to see impact this game is the announcement |
| 0:58.0 | of Cordell Patterson and his status a little bit later this morning. Once that comes in, |
| 1:03.3 | Los Alano kind of settled. There'll be a wave of New England money throughout today coming for people |
| 1:07.1 | who haven't bet yet. And books are going to be left looking at a pretty substantial liability on the Patriots. |
| 1:14.2 | And there's going to be a lot of pro-betters with Atlanta plus seven in their pocket. |
| 1:17.5 | That's how it is. |
| 1:19.4 | I don't think I'm touching this game one way or another, |
| 1:22.0 | but that's really a simple market to sort of look at at this point in the week. |
| 1:26.8 | Detroit on the road at the Cleveland Browns, |
... |
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